La escuela de los momios

Pumas v Cruz Azul

Inicio: 2026-05-25 01:00 UTC

Final: Pumas 1–2 Cruz Azul

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pumas (Local)

Predicción 30.69%3.26momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.62%30.76%30.60%32.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.44%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cruz Azul (Visitante)

Predicción 41.63%2.40momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.00%41.64%41.54%43.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.032.212.222.3349.26%45.19%45.05%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.69%3.61momio equitativo
EV +3.27%
Ventaja +0.876%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.91%27.60%27.86%29.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.253.7334.72%30.47%30.77%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +3.27%E +0.876%K +1.20%G +0.039%3.5%2026-05-25 00:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.332%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 00:50
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.332%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 00:50
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.332%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 00:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -8.55%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -7.59%E -3.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -1.72%E -0.483%K -0.673%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 00:50
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -8.55%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -7.59%E -3.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -1.72%E -0.483%K -0.673%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 00:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -1.72%E -0.483%K -0.673%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 00:50
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 23:10
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 00:50
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 00:30
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-25 00:49
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 00:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-25 00:50
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.98%EV -15.50%E -7.63%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-25 00:38
GTbets3.13I 31.95%NM 30.51%EV -3.95%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.98%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.51%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 18:10
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 23:19
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 23:09
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 23:20
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 23:20
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.07%E -5.03%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-25 00:00
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:40
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.17%E -3.22%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 00:50
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.17%E -3.22%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 00:50
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-25 00:50
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -6.10%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -10.85%E -3.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 00:50
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -6.71%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.68%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -10.85%E -3.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 00:50
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 23:20
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-25 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-25 00:50
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 00:09
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.46%EV -9.67%E -4.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 00:50
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -14.67%E -7.15%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-25 00:39
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.58%E -5.99%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-24 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 00:40
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 00:39
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -11.75%E -5.54%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 00:50
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -11.75%E -5.54%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 00:50
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.22%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -14.67%E -7.15%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-25 00:39
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 00:49
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 00:40
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 00:40
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -15.61%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -20.27%E -7.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-05-25 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-05-25 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-05-25 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-05-25 00:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-05-25 00:50