La scuola delle quote

Pumas v Cruz Azul

Inizio: 2026-05-25 01:00 UTC

Finale: Pumas 1–2 Cruz Azul

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pumas (Casa)

Previsione 30.69%3.26quota equa
EV -3.33%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.62%30.76%30.60%32.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.44%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cruz Azul (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.63%2.40quota equa
EV -3.01%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.00%41.64%41.54%43.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.032.212.222.3349.26%45.19%45.05%42.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.69%3.61quota equa
EV +3.27%
Vantaggio +0.876%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescita +0.039%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.91%27.60%27.86%29.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.283.253.7334.72%30.47%30.77%26.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +3.27%E +0.876%K +1.20%G +0.039%3.5%2026-05-25 00:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.332%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 00:50
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.332%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 00:50
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.332%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 00:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -8.55%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -7.59%E -3.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -1.72%E -0.483%K -0.673%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 00:50
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -8.55%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -7.59%E -3.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -1.72%E -0.483%K -0.673%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 00:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -1.72%E -0.483%K -0.673%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 00:50
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 23:10
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 00:50
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 00:30
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-25 00:49
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 00:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-25 00:50
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.98%EV -15.50%E -7.63%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-25 00:38
GTbets3.13I 31.95%NM 30.51%EV -3.95%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.98%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.51%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 18:10
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 23:19
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 23:09
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 23:20
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 23:20
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.07%E -5.03%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-25 00:00
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 00:40
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.17%E -3.22%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 00:50
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.17%E -3.22%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 00:50
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-25 00:50
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -6.10%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -10.85%E -3.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 00:50
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -6.71%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.68%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -10.85%E -3.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 00:50
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 23:20
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-25 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-25 00:50
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 00:09
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.46%EV -9.67%E -4.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 00:50
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -14.67%E -7.15%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-25 00:39
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.58%E -5.99%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-24 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 00:40
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 00:39
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -11.75%E -5.54%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 00:50
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -11.75%E -5.54%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 00:50
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.22%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -14.67%E -7.15%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-25 00:39
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 00:49
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 00:40
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 00:40
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -15.61%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -20.27%E -7.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-05-25 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-05-25 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-05-25 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-05-25 00:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-05-25 00:50
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-05-25 00:50