Language:English
Pumas v América
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 37.37%2.68fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.29%37.49%37.25%39.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.462.6344.44%40.55%40.57%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América (Visit)
Prediction 35.01%2.86fair odd
EV +4.33%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +2.19%
Growth +0.095%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.26%34.91%35.13%36.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.602.602.9842.55%38.42%38.46%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.790%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.69%27.60%27.61%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.293.303.5234.72%30.42%30.30%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 37.37%; América (Visit): 35.01%; Draw: 27.62%. For América (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.72%EV -9.56%E -3.95%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26%EV +4.33%E +1.45%K +2.19%G +0.095% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.02%EV -5.26%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 01:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.93%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.64%EV +0.479%E +0.167%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.43%EV -2.78%E -0.790%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-11 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.93%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.64%EV +0.479%E +0.167%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.43%EV -2.78%E -0.790%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-11 01:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.07%EV -3.02%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 01:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.17%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 01:17 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -4.44%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 01:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 01:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 01:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.47%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 01:17 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.83%EV -8.82%E -3.61%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.19%EV -5.47%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 01:16 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.47%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.23%EV -6.95%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.85%EV -6.87%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -8.30%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 01:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.22%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 01:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -1.72%E -0.653%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -7.92%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 01:17 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 01:17 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 01:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -11.06%E -4.65%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 01:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-11 01:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-11 01:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 01:18 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-11 01:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-11 01:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -15.92%E -7.07%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-11 01:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 01:17 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 01:17 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-11 01:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-11 01:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-11 01:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-11 01:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 01:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -11.06%E -4.65%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-11 01:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -11.06%E -4.65%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 01:12 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 01:12 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.88%EV -15.17%E -6.68%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.39%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-11 01:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.05%E -6.11%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.14%E -5.71%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -12.18%E -5.18%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -14.22%E -5.81%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -11.43%E -4.82%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -14.22%E -5.81%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -15.98%E -6.66%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.46%E -7.10%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-11 01:17 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -12.18%E -5.18%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -17.73%E -7.54%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.81%EV -15.76%E -5.17%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-05-11 01:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.24% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-05-11 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.00% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.23% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.87% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.01% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.42% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 01:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 01:20 |