L’École des cotes

Pumas v América

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 01:21 UTC

Score final : Pumas 3–3 América

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pumas (Local)

Prévision 37.37%2.68cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.653%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.29%37.49%37.25%39.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.462.6344.44%40.55%40.57%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

América (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.01%2.86cote équitable
EV +4.33%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +2.19%
Croissance +0.095%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.26%34.91%35.13%36.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.602.602.9842.55%38.42%38.46%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.62%3.62cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -0.790%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.69%27.60%27.61%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.293.303.5234.72%30.42%30.30%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.72%EV -9.56%E -3.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26%EV +4.33%E +1.45%K +2.19%G +0.095%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.02%EV -5.26%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 01:14
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.93%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.64%EV +0.479%E +0.167%K +0.256%G +0.001%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.43%EV -2.78%E -0.790%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 01:15
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.93%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.64%EV +0.479%E +0.167%K +0.256%G +0.001%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.43%EV -2.78%E -0.790%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 01:15
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.07%EV -3.02%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 01:20
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.17%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 01:17
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -4.44%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 01:15
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 01:15
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 01:16
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.47%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 01:17
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 37.83%EV -8.82%E -3.61%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.19%EV -5.47%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 01:16
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.47%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 01:19
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.23%EV -6.95%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.85%EV -6.87%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -8.30%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 01:14
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.22%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 01:15
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -1.72%E -0.653%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -7.92%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 01:17
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 01:17
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 01:18
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 01:19
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -11.06%E -4.65%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-11 01:14
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 01:19
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 01:19
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 01:19
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 01:19
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 01:19
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 01:20
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 01:19
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 01:14
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 01:13
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 01:18
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 01:14
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 01:20
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -15.92%E -7.07%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-11 01:14
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:17
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 01:19
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 01:17
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 01:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-11 01:20
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-11 01:20
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-11 01:18
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-11 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-11 01:20
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-11 01:18
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -11.06%E -4.65%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-11 01:20
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-11 01:19
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -11.06%E -4.65%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-11 01:19
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-11 01:12
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-11 01:12
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 37.88%EV -15.17%E -6.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.39%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-11 01:14
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.05%E -6.11%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.14%E -5.71%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-11 01:19
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -12.18%E -5.18%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -14.22%E -5.81%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-11 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -11.43%E -4.82%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -14.22%E -5.81%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-11 01:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -15.98%E -6.66%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.46%E -7.10%K -10.88%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-11 01:17
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -12.18%E -5.18%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -17.73%E -7.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.81%EV -15.76%E -5.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-11 01:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03%1.4%2026-05-11 01:20
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.24%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-11 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.00%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.23%2.0%2026-05-11 01:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.87%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-05-11 01:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-05-11 01:19
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%4.5%2026-05-11 01:20