La escuela de los momios

Pumas v América

Inicio: 2026-05-11 01:21 UTC

Final: Pumas 3–3 América

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pumas (Local)

Predicción 37.37%2.68momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.653%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.29%37.49%37.25%39.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.472.462.6344.44%40.55%40.57%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

América (Visitante)

Predicción 35.01%2.86momio equitativo
EV +4.33%
Ventaja +1.45%
Kelly +2.19%
Crecimiento +0.095%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.26%34.91%35.13%36.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.602.602.9842.55%38.42%38.46%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.62%3.62momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -0.790%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.69%27.60%27.61%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.5234.72%30.42%30.30%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.72%EV -9.56%E -3.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26%EV +4.33%E +1.45%K +2.19%G +0.095%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.02%EV -5.26%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 01:14
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.93%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.64%EV +0.479%E +0.167%K +0.256%G +0.001%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.43%EV -2.78%E -0.790%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 01:15
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.93%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.64%EV +0.479%E +0.167%K +0.256%G +0.001%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.43%EV -2.78%E -0.790%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 01:15
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.07%EV -3.02%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 01:20
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.17%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 01:17
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -4.44%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 01:15
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 01:15
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.72%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 01:16
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.47%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 01:17
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 37.83%EV -8.82%E -3.61%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.19%EV -5.47%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 01:16
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.47%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 01:19
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.23%EV -6.95%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.85%EV -6.87%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -8.30%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 01:14
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.22%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 01:15
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -1.72%E -0.653%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -7.92%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 01:17
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 01:17
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 01:18
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 01:19
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -11.06%E -4.65%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -8.27%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-11 01:14
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 01:19
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 01:19
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 01:19
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 01:19
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 01:19
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 01:20
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 01:19
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 01:14
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 01:13
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 01:18
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 01:14
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 01:20
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -15.92%E -7.07%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -8.97%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-11 01:14
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:17
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 01:19
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 01:17
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 01:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-11 01:20
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-11 01:20
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-11 01:18
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.72%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-11 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-11 01:20
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-11 01:18
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -11.06%E -4.65%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-11 01:20
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-11 01:19
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -11.06%E -4.65%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-11 01:19
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-11 01:12
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-11 01:12
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 37.88%EV -15.17%E -6.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.39%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-11 01:14
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.05%E -6.11%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -12.47%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.14%E -5.71%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-11 01:19
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -12.18%E -5.18%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -14.22%E -5.81%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-11 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -11.43%E -4.82%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -14.22%E -5.81%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-11 01:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -15.98%E -6.66%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.46%E -7.10%K -10.88%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-11 01:17
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -12.18%E -5.18%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -17.73%E -7.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.81%EV -15.76%E -5.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-11 01:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.74%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03%1.4%2026-05-11 01:20
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.24%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-11 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.00%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.23%2.0%2026-05-11 01:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.87%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-05-11 01:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-05-11 01:19
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%4.5%2026-05-11 01:20