Language:English
Puebla v Tigres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Puebla (Local)
Prediction 24.29%4.12fair odd
EV +6.62%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.129%
assuming max odds 4.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%24.27%24.27%25.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.843.854.3928.17%26.05%25.97%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tigres (Visit)
Prediction 48.34%2.07fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.58%48.43%48.37%50.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.891.901.9856.50%52.89%52.63%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.37%3.65fair odd
EV -0.093%
Edge -0.025%
Kelly -0.035%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.01%27.30%27.36%28.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.403.6533.33%29.72%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Puebla (Local): 24.29%; Tigres (Visit): 48.34%; Draw: 27.37%. For Puebla (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.87%EV +6.62%E +1.51%K +1.95%G +0.129% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV +0.795%E +0.191%K +0.252%G +0.002% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -0.640%E -0.176%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV +0.795%E +0.191%K +0.252%G +0.002% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -0.640%E -0.176%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.20%EV +0.795%E +0.191%K +0.252%G +0.002% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.42%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -0.093%E -0.025%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%EV -0.420%E -0.102%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.85%EV -4.29%E -2.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.56%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.38%EV -1.88%E -0.465%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.93%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.69%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -2.83%E -0.797%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -2.83%E -0.797%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -8.64%E -4.57%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 00:52 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 00:56 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.72%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.53%EV -8.19%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.04%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.48%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -0.093%E -0.025%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 00:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.37%EV -12.02%E -6.60%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -13.95%E -7.84%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -17.88%E -5.96%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.70%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -13.78%E -4.37%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -13.78%E -3.88%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.13%EV -12.02%E -6.60%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.20%EV -11.86%E -3.68%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-05 00:57 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.43% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 2.3% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |