La escuela de los momios

Puebla v Tigres

Inicio: 2026-03-05 01:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Puebla (Local)

Predicción 24.29%4.12momio equitativo
EV +6.62%
Ventaja +1.51%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.129%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.87%24.27%24.27%25.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.843.854.3928.17%26.05%25.97%22.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tigres (Visitante)

Predicción 48.34%2.07momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -4.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.58%48.43%48.37%50.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.891.901.9856.50%52.89%52.63%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.37%3.65momio equitativo
EV -0.093%
Ventaja -0.025%
Kelly -0.035%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.01%27.30%27.36%28.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.403.6533.33%29.72%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.39I 22.78%NM 21.87%EV +6.62%E +1.51%K +1.95%G +0.129%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:59
LowVig.ag4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV +0.795%E +0.191%K +0.252%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -0.640%E -0.176%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 01:00
BetOnline.ag4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV +0.795%E +0.191%K +0.252%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -0.640%E -0.176%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 00:59
BetUS4.15I 24.10%NM 23.20%EV +0.795%E +0.191%K +0.252%G +0.002%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.42%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -0.093%E -0.025%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 00:59
Pinnacle4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%EV -0.420%E -0.102%K -0.135%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.85%EV -4.29%E -2.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.56%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 00:59
GTbets4.04I 24.75%NM 23.38%EV -1.88%E -0.465%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.93%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.69%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:59
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -2.83%E -0.797%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 01:00
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -2.83%E -0.797%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 01:00
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 01:00
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 01:00
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 00:59
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:59
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -8.64%E -4.57%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 01:00
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 01:00
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 00:52
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 01:00
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 01:00
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 00:56
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.72%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 01:00
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 01:00
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 01:00
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-05 00:59
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-05 00:59
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-05 00:59
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.53%EV -8.19%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.04%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.48%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 00:59
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -0.093%E -0.025%K -0.035%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:58
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 01:00
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-05 01:00
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 00:59
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-05 00:59
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.37%EV -12.02%E -6.60%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-05 01:00
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -13.95%E -7.84%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-05 01:00
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 01:00
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-05 01:00
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-05 01:00
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-05 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -17.88%E -5.96%K -8.94%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-05 01:00
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 48.70%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -13.78%E -4.37%K -6.41%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-05 00:59
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -13.78%E -3.88%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.13%EV -12.02%E -6.60%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.20%EV -11.86%E -3.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-05 00:57
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-03-05 01:00
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-03-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.3%2026-03-05 01:00
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%5.6%2026-03-05 01:00