L’École des cotes

Puebla v Tigres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 01:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Puebla (Local)

Prévision 24.29%4.12cote équitable
EV +6.62%
Avantage +1.51%
Kelly +1.95%
Croissance +0.129%

avec la cote maximale 4.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.87%24.27%24.27%25.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.843.854.3928.17%26.05%25.97%22.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tigres (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.34%2.07cote équitable
EV -4.29%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -4.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.58%48.43%48.37%50.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.891.901.9856.50%52.89%52.63%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.37%3.65cote équitable
EV -0.093%
Avantage -0.025%
Kelly -0.035%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.01%27.30%27.36%28.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.403.6533.33%29.72%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.39I 22.78%NM 21.87%EV +6.62%E +1.51%K +1.95%G +0.129%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:59
LowVig.ag4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV +0.795%E +0.191%K +0.252%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -0.640%E -0.176%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 01:00
BetOnline.ag4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV +0.795%E +0.191%K +0.252%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -0.640%E -0.176%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 00:59
BetUS4.15I 24.10%NM 23.20%EV +0.795%E +0.191%K +0.252%G +0.002%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.42%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -0.093%E -0.025%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 00:59
Pinnacle4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%EV -0.420%E -0.102%K -0.135%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.85%EV -4.29%E -2.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.56%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 00:59
GTbets4.04I 24.75%NM 23.38%EV -1.88%E -0.465%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.93%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.69%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:59
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -2.83%E -0.797%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 01:00
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -2.83%E -0.797%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 01:00
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 01:00
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 01:00
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 00:59
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:59
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -8.64%E -4.57%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 01:00
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 01:00
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 00:52
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 01:00
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 01:00
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 00:56
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.72%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 01:00
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 01:00
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 01:00
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-05 00:59
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-05 00:59
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-05 00:59
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.53%EV -8.19%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.04%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.48%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 00:59
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -0.093%E -0.025%K -0.035%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:58
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 01:00
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-05 01:00
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 00:59
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-05 00:59
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.37%EV -12.02%E -6.60%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-05 01:00
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -13.95%E -7.84%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-05 01:00
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 01:00
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-05 01:00
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-05 01:00
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-05 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -17.88%E -5.96%K -8.94%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-05 01:00
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 48.70%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -13.78%E -4.37%K -6.41%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-05 00:59
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -13.78%E -3.88%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.13%EV -12.02%E -6.60%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.20%EV -11.86%E -3.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-05 00:57
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-03-05 01:00
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-03-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.3%2026-03-05 01:00
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%5.6%2026-03-05 01:00