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Puebla v Santos Laguna

2026-08-23 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Puebla (Local)

Prediction 34.95%2.86fair odd
EV -6.33%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.67%34.95%34.91%35.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.592.602.6841.15%38.68%38.46%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Santos Laguna (Visit)

Prediction 38.62%2.59fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -4.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.16%38.62%38.66%39.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.372.402.4344.84%42.22%41.67%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.43%3.78fair odd
EV -6.19%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%26.43%26.42%26.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.503.5530.77%28.93%28.57%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Puebla (Local): 34.95%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 38.62%; Draw: 26.43%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.43, with an expected value of -6.15%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.33%E -2.36%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -6.54%E -2.70%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 02:54
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.33%E -2.36%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -6.54%E -2.70%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 02:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.37%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.19%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 01:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.37%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.19%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 01:34
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -7.37%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.19%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 03:09
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.31%E -3.05%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 01:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.31%E -3.05%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 01:35
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.31%E -3.05%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 01:34
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.31%E -3.05%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 01:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.31%E -3.05%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 01:34
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.31%E -3.05%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 01:34
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.31%E -3.05%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 01:34
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.17%E -4.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-13 02:55
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -10.87%E -4.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -10.01%E -4.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-13 01:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 34.67%EV -11.57%E -4.57%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.99%EV -13.10%E -5.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.34%EV -12.00%E -3.60%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-13 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -12.62%E -5.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -10.40%E -4.48%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -11.47%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-13 01:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -12.62%E -5.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -10.40%E -4.48%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -11.47%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-13 01:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -12.62%E -5.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -10.40%E -4.48%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -11.47%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-13 01:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 35.24%EV -15.06%E -6.20%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.40%EV -13.88%E -6.22%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%EV -14.12%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-13 01:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 34.10%1.75I 57.14%NM 35.47%2.04I 49.02%NM 30.43%61.1%2026-08-13 07:05

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