Language:English
Puebla v Santos Laguna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Puebla (Local)
Prediction 44.88%2.23fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.11%44.89%44.92%46.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.062.1651.28%48.40%48.43%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santos Laguna (Visit)
Prediction 29.03%3.44fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -0.665%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.84%29.00%29.06%30.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.123.103.3935.09%32.07%32.26%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -0.989%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.11%26.02%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.7331.25%28.64%28.57%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Puebla (Local): 44.88%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 29.03%; Draw: 26.09%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.39, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.43%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.58%EV -5.83%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.24%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.644%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -2.96%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -1.59%E -0.469%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.724%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -1.59%E -0.469%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.724%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:18 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 19:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 04:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 04:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.87%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.81%EV -5.07%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.32%EV -6.61%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 00:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 00:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 00:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 04:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 00:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -7.09%E -3.42%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.54%E -3.66%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 00:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 00:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 07:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 04:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 22:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 03:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 00:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.58%E -5.88%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.35%EV -11.58%E -5.88%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.96%EV -17.27%E -6.06%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.69%EV -16.52%E -5.16%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.48%E -6.40%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 03:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.80%EV -12.48%E -6.40%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.12%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 22:10 |