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Puebla v Santos Laguna
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Puebla (Хозяева)
Прогноз 44.88%2.23справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.05%
Преимущество -1.41%
Kelly -2.63%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.16
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.11%44.89%44.92%46.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.952.072.062.1651.28%48.40%48.43%46.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Santos Laguna (Гости)
Прогноз 29.03%3.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.59%
Преимущество -0.469%
Kelly -0.665%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.39
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.84%29.00%29.06%30.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.853.123.103.3935.09%32.07%32.26%29.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.09%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.70%
Преимущество -0.724%
Kelly -0.989%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.73
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.00%26.11%26.02%27.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.493.503.7331.25%28.64%28.57%26.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Puebla (Хозяева): 44.88%; Santos Laguna (Гости): 29.03%; Ничья: 26.09%. Для исхода «Santos Laguna (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.44. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.39, математическое ожидание — -1.59%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.43%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.58%EV -5.83%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.24%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.644%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -2.96%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -1.59%E -0.469%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.724%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -1.59%E -0.469%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.724%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:18 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 19:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 04:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 04:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.87%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.81%EV -5.07%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.32%EV -6.61%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 00:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 00:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 00:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 04:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 00:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -7.09%E -3.42%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.54%E -3.66%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 00:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 00:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 07:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 04:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 22:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 03:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 00:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.58%E -5.88%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.35%EV -11.58%E -5.88%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.96%EV -17.27%E -6.06%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.69%EV -16.52%E -5.16%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.48%E -6.40%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 03:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.80%EV -12.48%E -6.40%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.12%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 22:10 |