Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Puebla v Santos Laguna

Início: 2026-08-23 00:59 UTC

Final: Puebla 3–2 Santos Laguna

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Puebla (Local)

Previsão 44.88%2.23odd justa
EV -3.05%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.11%44.89%44.92%46.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.072.062.1651.28%48.40%48.43%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Santos Laguna (Visitante)

Previsão 29.03%3.44odd justa
EV -1.59%
Vantagem -0.469%
Kelly -0.665%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.84%29.00%29.06%30.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.123.103.3935.09%32.07%32.26%29.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.09%3.83odd justa
EV -2.70%
Vantagem -0.724%
Kelly -0.989%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.00%26.11%26.02%27.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.493.503.7331.25%28.64%28.57%26.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Puebla (Local): 44.88%; Santos Laguna (Visitante): 29.03%; Empate: 26.09%. Para Santos Laguna (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.44. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.39, com valor esperado de -1.59%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.43%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.58%EV -5.83%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 00:19
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.24%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.644%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -2.96%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -1.59%E -0.469%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.724%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -1.59%E -0.469%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.724%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 00:19
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 00:20
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 00:19
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 00:18
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 00:19
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 19:09
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 04:00
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 04:19
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.87%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.81%EV -5.07%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.32%EV -6.61%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 04:50
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 00:04
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 00:35
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 00:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 23:15
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 04:00
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 00:54
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -7.09%E -3.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.54%E -3.66%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 00:45
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 00:14
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 00:49
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 00:54
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 00:55
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 07:35
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 23:15
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 00:49
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 00:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 00:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 00:19
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 00:45
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 03:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 00:35
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-23 00:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-23 00:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-23 00:39
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-23 00:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.58%E -5.88%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.35%EV -11.58%E -5.88%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.96%EV -17.27%E -6.06%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.69%EV -16.52%E -5.16%K -7.51%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-23 00:19
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.48%E -6.40%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 03:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.80%EV -12.48%E -6.40%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.12%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 00:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-08-23 00:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-08-23 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-08-23 00:50
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-08-23 00:55
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-08-23 00:55
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%2.4%2026-08-22 22:10