Language:English
Pachuca v Pumas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pachuca (Local)
Prediction 47.10%2.12fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%47.19%47.03%48.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.931.952.0555.25%51.69%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pumas (Visit)
Prediction 26.14%3.83fair odd
EV +2.45%
Edge +0.626%
Kelly +0.840%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.49%26.05%26.18%27.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.543.553.9230.77%28.29%28.17%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.77%3.74fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.334%
Kelly -0.458%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.12%26.76%26.78%28.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.453.6933.33%29.13%28.99%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pachuca (Local): 47.10%; Pumas (Visit): 26.14%; Draw: 26.77%. For Pumas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.99%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV +2.45%E +0.626%K +0.840%G +0.021% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV -3.11%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.684%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.38%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.38%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -2.78%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV -1.23%E -0.334%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-15 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -2.78%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV -1.23%E -0.334%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-15 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -2.84%E -0.782%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 00:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -10.98%E -5.81%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -11.46%E -6.09%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -11.46%E -6.09%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 00:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 21:21 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -12.40%E -6.67%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -5.33%E -2.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.72%EV -7.74%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-14 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 21:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 14:46 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-15 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -14.28%E -7.85%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.33%E -3.08%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -14.28%E -7.85%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.33%E -3.08%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-15 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.45%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-14 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.45%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -12.87%E -6.96%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.45%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-15 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.63%EV -11.46%E -6.09%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.40%EV -13.23%E -3.98%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-15 00:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-15 00:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.69%EV -14.75%E -8.15%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.81%E -7.55%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -19.70%E -6.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-14 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-14 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -10.51%E -5.53%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-14 16:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80% | 2.2% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-05-15 00:55 |