مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pachuca v Pumas

البداية: 2026-05-15 01:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pachuca 1–0 Pumas

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pachuca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.10%2.12السعر العادل
EV -3.45%
الأفضلية -1.68%
Kelly -3.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.45%47.19%47.03%48.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.811.931.952.0555.25%51.69%51.28%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pumas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.14%3.83السعر العادل
EV +2.45%
الأفضلية +0.626%
Kelly +0.840%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.49%26.05%26.18%27.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.543.553.9230.77%28.29%28.17%25.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.77%3.74السعر العادل
EV -1.23%
الأفضلية -0.334%
Kelly -0.458%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.12%26.76%26.78%28.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.433.453.6933.33%29.13%28.99%27.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.99%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV +2.45%E +0.626%K +0.840%G +0.021%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV -3.11%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 00:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.684%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 00:25
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:30
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.38%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 00:45
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.38%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 00:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 00:10
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -2.78%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV -1.23%E -0.334%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-15 00:25
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -2.78%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV -1.23%E -0.334%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-15 00:25
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -2.84%E -0.782%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 00:50
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 00:55
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:45
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 00:54
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -10.98%E -5.81%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 00:45
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -11.46%E -6.09%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -11.46%E -6.09%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 00:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 00:08
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 00:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 21:21
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 00:55
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 00:55
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -12.40%E -6.67%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-15 00:45
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -5.33%E -2.65%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.72%EV -7.74%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 16:35
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 21:31
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 00:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 14:46
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 00:35
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 00:10
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 23:55
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -14.28%E -7.85%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.33%E -3.08%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-15 00:45
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -14.28%E -7.85%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.33%E -3.08%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-15 00:45
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-15 00:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-15 00:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-15 00:55
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.45%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 23:29
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.45%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-14 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -12.87%E -6.96%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.45%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-15 00:35
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.63%EV -11.46%E -6.09%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.40%EV -13.23%E -3.98%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-15 00:33
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 23:39
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-15 00:54
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 47.69%EV -14.75%E -8.15%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-15 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.81%E -7.55%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -19.70%E -6.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-14 14:35
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-14 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -10.51%E -5.53%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-14 16:36
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-05-15 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-15 00:55
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%2.2%2026-05-15 00:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-05-15 00:55