A Escola das Odds

Pachuca v Pumas

Início: 2026-05-15 01:00 UTC

Final: Pachuca 1–0 Pumas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pachuca (Local)

Previsão 47.10%2.12odd justa
EV -3.45%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -3.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.45%47.19%47.03%48.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.811.931.952.0555.25%51.69%51.28%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pumas (Visitante)

Previsão 26.14%3.83odd justa
EV +2.45%
Vantagem +0.626%
Kelly +0.840%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.49%26.05%26.18%27.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.543.553.9230.77%28.29%28.17%25.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.77%3.74odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.334%
Kelly -0.458%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.12%26.76%26.78%28.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.433.453.6933.33%29.13%28.99%27.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.99%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV +2.45%E +0.626%K +0.840%G +0.021%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV -3.11%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 00:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.684%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 00:25
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:30
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.38%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 00:45
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.38%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 00:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 00:10
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -2.78%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV -1.23%E -0.334%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-15 00:25
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -2.78%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV -1.23%E -0.334%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-15 00:25
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -2.84%E -0.782%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 00:50
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 00:55
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -9.57%E -4.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 00:45
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:45
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 00:54
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -10.98%E -5.81%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 00:45
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -11.46%E -6.09%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -11.46%E -6.09%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 00:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 00:08
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 00:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 21:21
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 00:55
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 00:55
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -12.40%E -6.67%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-15 00:45
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -5.33%E -2.65%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.72%EV -7.74%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 16:35
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 21:31
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 00:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 14:46
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 00:35
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 00:10
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 23:55
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -14.28%E -7.85%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.33%E -3.08%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-15 00:45
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -14.28%E -7.85%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.33%E -3.08%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-15 00:45
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-15 00:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-15 00:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-15 00:55
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.45%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 23:29
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.45%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-14 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -12.87%E -6.96%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.45%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-15 00:35
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.63%EV -11.46%E -6.09%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.40%EV -13.23%E -3.98%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-15 00:33
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 23:39
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-15 00:54
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 47.69%EV -14.75%E -8.15%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-15 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.81%E -7.55%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -19.70%E -6.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-14 14:35
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-14 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -10.51%E -5.53%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-14 16:36
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-05-15 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-15 00:55
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%2.2%2026-05-15 00:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-05-15 00:55