Language:English
Pachuca v Pumas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pachuca (Local)
Prediction 45.93%2.18fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.91%45.83%46.00%47.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.992.002.1053.19%50.31%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pumas (Visit)
Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.662%
Kelly -0.933%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%28.37%28.28%29.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.243.253.4534.48%30.89%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.75%3.88fair odd
EV -0.874%
Edge -0.227%
Kelly -0.307%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.82%25.80%25.72%27.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.28%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pachuca (Local): 45.93%; Pumas (Visit): 28.32%; Draw: 25.75%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -0.874%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.47%E -2.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.47%E -2.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 03:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.47%E -2.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 03:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.80%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.80%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.17%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -3.98%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.77%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 04:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 05:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 03:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.30%E -3.09%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.29%E -0.662%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 23:38 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.30%E -3.09%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.29%E -0.662%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.23%EV -6.30%E -3.09%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.07%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 03:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -6.76%E -3.33%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -0.874%E -0.227%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.12%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.15%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.74%EV -6.80%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 04:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.77%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 07:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.77%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -6.80%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 04:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -9.06%E -4.58%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -9.06%E -4.58%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.61%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -9.52%E -4.83%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.98%E -5.09%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 18:33 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 03:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-24 03:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -10.90%E -5.62%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -11.36%E -5.88%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-15 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.45%EV -11.36%E -5.88%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.61%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.81%E -6.15%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -17.86%E -6.16%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -12.27%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 03:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -12.27%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.27%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -20.18%E -6.51%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.27%EV -12.73%E -6.70%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.97%EV -13.19%E -6.98%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -13.61%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -13.65%E -7.26%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -13.65%E -7.26%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |