La escuela de los momios

Pachuca v Pumas

Inicio: 2026-04-25 23:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pachuca (Local)

Predicción 45.93%2.18momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -3.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.91%45.83%46.00%47.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.992.002.1053.19%50.31%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pumas (Visitante)

Predicción 28.32%3.53momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.662%
Kelly -0.933%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.97%28.37%28.28%29.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.243.253.4534.48%30.89%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.75%3.88momio equitativo
EV -0.874%
Ventaja -0.227%
Kelly -0.307%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.82%25.80%25.72%27.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.28%28.17%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:04
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.47%E -2.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:54
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.47%E -2.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 03:14
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.47%E -2.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 03:15
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.80%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:10
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.80%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:10
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.17%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -3.98%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.77%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 04:30
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 05:24
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 03:14
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.30%E -3.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.29%E -0.662%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:38
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.30%E -3.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.29%E -0.662%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:39
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.23%EV -6.30%E -3.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.07%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 03:25
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -6.76%E -3.33%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -0.874%E -0.227%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 22:20
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.12%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.15%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.74%EV -6.80%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 04:09
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.77%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 07:20
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 45.77%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:33
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:39
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:39
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:40
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:39
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:40
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -6.80%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 04:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:44
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:29
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -9.06%E -4.58%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 22:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -9.06%E -4.58%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.61%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 21:55
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -9.52%E -4.83%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 23:39
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.98%E -5.09%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:24
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:34
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 18:33
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 23:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 03:20
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 22:20
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 17:49
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-24 03:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -10.90%E -5.62%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 23:39
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -11.36%E -5.88%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.45%EV -11.36%E -5.88%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.61%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 21:59
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.81%E -6.15%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -17.86%E -6.16%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 21:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -12.27%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 03:19
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -12.27%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.27%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -20.18%E -6.51%K -9.61%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.27%EV -12.73%E -6.70%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 45.97%EV -13.19%E -6.98%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -13.61%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 23:04
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -13.65%E -7.26%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -13.65%E -7.26%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-04-23 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-04-23 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-04-23 22:25
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%3.6%2026-04-24 03:05
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%5.4%2026-04-24 03:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%8.0%2026-04-24 03:50