L’École des cotes

Pachuca v Pumas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pachuca (Local)

Prévision 45.93%2.18cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -3.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.91%45.83%46.00%47.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.992.002.1053.19%50.31%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pumas (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.662%
Kelly -0.933%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.97%28.37%28.28%29.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.243.253.4534.48%30.89%30.77%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.75%3.88cote équitable
EV -0.874%
Avantage -0.227%
Kelly -0.307%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.82%25.80%25.72%27.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.28%28.17%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:04
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.47%E -2.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:54
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.47%E -2.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 03:14
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.47%E -2.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 03:15
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.80%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:10
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.80%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:10
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.17%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -3.98%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.77%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 04:30
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 05:24
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 03:14
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.30%E -3.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.29%E -0.662%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:38
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.30%E -3.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.29%E -0.662%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:39
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.23%EV -6.30%E -3.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.07%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 03:25
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -6.76%E -3.33%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -0.874%E -0.227%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 22:20
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.12%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.15%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.74%EV -6.80%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 04:09
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.77%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 07:20
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 45.77%EV -7.68%E -3.82%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:33
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:39
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:39
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:40
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:39
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:40
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -6.80%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 04:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:44
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 20:29
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -9.06%E -4.58%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 22:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -9.06%E -4.58%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.61%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 21:55
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -9.52%E -4.83%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 23:39
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -9.98%E -5.09%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:24
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:34
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 18:33
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 23:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 03:20
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 22:20
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 17:49
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-24 03:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -10.90%E -5.62%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 23:39
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -11.36%E -5.88%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.45%EV -11.36%E -5.88%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.61%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 21:59
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.81%E -6.15%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -17.86%E -6.16%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 21:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -12.27%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 03:19
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -12.27%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.27%E -6.43%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -20.18%E -6.51%K -9.61%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.27%EV -12.73%E -6.70%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 45.97%EV -13.19%E -6.98%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -13.61%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 23:04
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -13.65%E -7.26%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -13.65%E -7.26%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-04-23 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-04-23 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-04-23 22:25
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%3.6%2026-04-24 03:05
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%5.4%2026-04-24 03:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%8.0%2026-04-24 03:50