La scuola delle quote

Pachuca v Puebla

Inizio: 2026-03-08 01:06 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pachuca (Casa)

Previsione 52.27%1.91quota equa
EV -3.30%
Vantaggio -1.78%
Kelly -3.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.52%52.27%52.10%54.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.751.751.8561.35%57.09%57.14%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Puebla (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.98%4.55quota equa
EV +4.83%
Vantaggio +1.01%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.062%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.09%21.99%22.02%23.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.244.304.7726.67%23.57%23.26%20.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.75%3.88quota equa
EV -2.14%
Vantaggio -0.563%
Kelly -0.764%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.65%25.74%25.87%27.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.593.603.8032.26%27.89%27.78%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.09%EV +4.83%E +1.01%K +1.28%G +0.062%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -4.20%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 00:59
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.21%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.40%E -0.633%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 00:49
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 00:34
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 00:35
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 00:50
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:35
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 01:00
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.42%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.14%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:00
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 00:34
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 00:35
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.03%EV -4.35%E -2.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -11.14%E -6.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 00:35
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -11.14%E -6.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 00:34
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.68%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.81%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.14%E -0.563%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 00:39
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.14%E -0.563%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 00:39
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 00:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 00:39
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -12.71%E -7.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 00:35
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 00:39
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 00:40
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 00:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 23:53
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 00:54
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -14.28%E -8.71%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-08 00:34
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -8.79%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 00:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:50
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 23:54
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 23:54
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-08 00:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-08 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-08 00:59
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.19%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 00:39
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -14.29%E -3.66%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-08 00:39
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.51%EV -14.80%E -9.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.95%EV -14.29%E -3.66%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.73%E -4.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-08 00:54
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.33%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.62%EV -14.73%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -13.21%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 00:40
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.49%E -4.34%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -17.59%E -4.69%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-08 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -17.59%E -4.69%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.17%E -6.51%K -9.60%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-08 01:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-03-08 00:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-08 01:00
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%2.2%2026-03-08 00:54
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-03-08 01:00