مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pachuca v Puebla

البداية: 2026-03-08 01:06 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pachuca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.27%1.91السعر العادل
EV -3.30%
الأفضلية -1.78%
Kelly -3.88%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.52%52.27%52.10%54.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.631.751.751.8561.35%57.09%57.14%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Puebla (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.98%4.55السعر العادل
EV +4.83%
الأفضلية +1.01%
Kelly +1.28%
النمو +0.062%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.09%21.99%22.02%23.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.244.304.7726.67%23.57%23.26%20.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.75%3.88السعر العادل
EV -2.14%
الأفضلية -0.563%
Kelly -0.764%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.65%25.74%25.87%27.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.593.603.8032.26%27.89%27.78%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.09%EV +4.83%E +1.01%K +1.28%G +0.062%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -4.20%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 00:59
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.21%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.40%E -0.633%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 00:49
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 00:34
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 00:35
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 00:50
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:35
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 01:00
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.42%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.14%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:00
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 00:34
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 00:35
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.03%EV -4.35%E -2.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -11.14%E -6.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 00:35
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -11.14%E -6.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 00:34
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.68%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.81%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.14%E -0.563%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 00:39
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.14%E -0.563%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 00:39
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 00:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 00:39
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -12.71%E -7.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 00:35
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 00:39
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 00:40
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 00:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 23:53
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 00:54
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -14.28%E -8.71%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-08 00:34
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -8.79%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 00:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:50
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 23:54
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 23:54
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-08 00:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-08 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-08 00:59
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.19%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 00:39
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -14.29%E -3.66%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-08 00:39
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.51%EV -14.80%E -9.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.95%EV -14.29%E -3.66%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.73%E -4.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-08 00:54
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.33%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.62%EV -14.73%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -13.21%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 00:40
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.49%E -4.34%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -17.59%E -4.69%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-08 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -17.59%E -4.69%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.17%E -6.51%K -9.60%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-08 01:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-03-08 00:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-08 01:00
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%2.2%2026-03-08 00:54
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-03-08 01:00