L’École des cotesFrançais
Pachuca v Puebla
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pachuca (Local)
Prévision 52.27%1.91cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.52%52.27%52.10%54.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.751.751.8561.35%57.09%57.14%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Puebla (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.98%4.55cote équitable
EV +4.83%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.062%
avec la cote maximale 4.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.09%21.99%22.02%23.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.244.304.7726.67%23.57%23.26%20.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.75%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.563%
Kelly -0.764%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.65%25.74%25.87%27.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.603.8032.26%27.89%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.09%EV +4.83%E +1.01%K +1.28%G +0.062% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -4.20%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.21%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.40%E -0.633%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.42%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.14%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.03%EV -4.35%E -2.37%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -11.14%E -6.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -11.14%E -6.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.68%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.81%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.14%E -0.563%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.14%E -0.563%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -12.71%E -7.61%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 23:53 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -14.28%E -8.71%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -8.79%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.19%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -14.29%E -3.66%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.51%EV -14.80%E -9.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.95%EV -14.29%E -3.66%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.73%E -4.10%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.33%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.62%EV -14.73%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -13.21%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.49%E -4.34%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -17.59%E -4.69%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -17.59%E -4.69%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.17%E -6.51%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42% | 2.2% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |