La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Pachuca v Puebla
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pachuca (Local)
Predicción 52.27%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -3.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.52%52.27%52.10%54.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.751.751.8561.35%57.09%57.14%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Puebla (Visitante)
Predicción 21.98%4.55momio equitativo
EV +4.83%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.062%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.09%21.99%22.02%23.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.244.304.7726.67%23.57%23.26%20.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.75%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.563%
Kelly -0.764%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.65%25.74%25.87%27.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.593.603.8032.26%27.89%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.09%EV +4.83%E +1.01%K +1.28%G +0.062% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -4.20%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.21%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.40%E -0.633%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.42%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.14%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.03%EV -4.35%E -2.37%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -11.14%E -6.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -11.14%E -6.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.68%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.81%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.14%E -0.563%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.14%E -0.563%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -12.71%E -7.61%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 23:53 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -14.28%E -8.71%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -8.79%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.72%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -3.43%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -5.91%E -3.29%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.19%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -14.29%E -3.66%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -15.02%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.51%EV -14.80%E -9.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.95%EV -14.29%E -3.66%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.73%E -4.10%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.33%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.62%EV -14.73%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -13.21%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.49%E -4.34%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -17.59%E -4.69%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -17.59%E -4.69%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.17%E -6.51%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42% | 2.2% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |