Language:English
Necaxa v Tijuana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Necaxa (Local)
Prediction 43.99%2.27fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.453%
Kelly -0.815%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.63%43.87%43.94%45.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.122.102.2551.28%47.17%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tijuana (Visit)
Prediction 28.97%3.45fair odd
EV +0.801%
Edge +0.230%
Kelly +0.323%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.58%29.09%28.99%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.093.003.4835.71%32.34%33.33%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.03%27.07%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.403.5733.33%29.59%29.41%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Necaxa (Local): 43.99%; Tijuana (Visit): 28.97%; Draw: 27.04%. For Tijuana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.801%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV +0.801%E +0.230%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -5.89%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.82%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -0.068%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.12%EV -3.46%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -1.23%E -0.360%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -3.46%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -1.23%E -0.360%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -3.46%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 00:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.43%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -4.99%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -8.06%E -3.86%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -4.99%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -8.60%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 00:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -8.94%E -4.32%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 00:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.95%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.34%EV -6.73%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.71%EV -7.79%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -1.02%E -0.453%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -11.65%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -1.02%E -0.453%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -11.65%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 00:52 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.07%EV -14.22%E -7.29%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%EV -14.82%E -4.70%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.43%EV -11.14%E -5.51%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -11.57%E -3.54%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -16.00%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -16.00%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -16.00%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -16.58%E -5.76%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -16.58%E -5.76%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -18.87%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -18.90%E -6.75%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 2.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.38% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |