L’École des cotes

Necaxa v Tijuana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 01:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Necaxa (Local)

Prévision 43.99%2.27cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.453%
Kelly -0.815%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.63%43.87%43.94%45.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.122.102.2551.28%47.17%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tijuana (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.97%3.45cote équitable
EV +0.801%
Avantage +0.230%
Kelly +0.323%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.58%29.09%28.99%31.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.093.003.4835.71%32.34%33.33%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.04%3.70cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -0.969%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.09%27.03%27.07%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.5733.33%29.59%29.41%28.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV +0.801%E +0.230%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -5.89%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:59
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.82%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -0.068%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.12%EV -3.46%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 00:59
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -1.23%E -0.360%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -3.46%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 01:00
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -1.23%E -0.360%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -3.46%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 01:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 00:58
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 00:59
Coolbet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.43%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -4.99%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 00:58
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -8.06%E -3.86%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -4.99%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -8.60%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 00:58
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 01:00
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 01:00
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 01:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 01:00
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -8.94%E -4.32%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 00:58
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 42.95%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.34%EV -6.73%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.71%EV -7.79%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:59
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 01:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 01:00
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 01:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 00:59
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 01:00
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 00:59
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 01:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 01:00
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -1.02%E -0.453%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -11.65%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:00
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -1.02%E -0.453%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -11.65%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:00
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 00:52
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 00:59
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 01:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 01:00
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 00:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 00:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 01:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 00:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 00:59
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.07%EV -14.22%E -7.29%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%EV -14.82%E -4.70%K -6.89%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-21 00:59
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 01:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 01:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 01:00
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 01:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 01:00
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 01:00
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 01:00
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:55
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.43%EV -11.14%E -5.51%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -11.57%E -3.54%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-21 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -16.00%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -16.00%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 01:00
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -16.00%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 01:00
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -16.58%E -5.76%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -16.58%E -5.76%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -18.87%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-21 01:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -18.90%E -6.75%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 01:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-03-21 01:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-03-21 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-03-21 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78%2.3%2026-03-21 01:00
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-03-21 01:00
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%3.9%2026-03-21 01:00