La escuela de los momiosNecaxa v Tijuana
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Necaxa (Local)
Predicción 43.99%2.27momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.453%
Kelly -0.815%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.63%43.87%43.94%45.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.122.102.2551.28%47.17%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tijuana (Visitante)
Predicción 28.97%3.45momio equitativo
EV +0.801%
Ventaja +0.230%
Kelly +0.323%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.58%29.09%28.99%31.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.003.4835.71%32.34%33.33%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.04%3.70momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -0.969%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.09%27.03%27.07%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.5733.33%29.59%29.41%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV +0.801%E +0.230%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -5.89%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.82%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -0.068%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.12%EV -3.46%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -1.23%E -0.360%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -3.46%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -1.23%E -0.360%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -3.46%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 00:58 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.43%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -4.99%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -8.06%E -3.86%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -4.99%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -8.60%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 00:58 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| BetUS | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -8.94%E -4.32%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 00:58 |
| GTbets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.95%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.34%EV -6.73%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.71%EV -7.79%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -1.02%E -0.453%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -11.65%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -1.02%E -0.453%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -11.65%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Bovada | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 00:52 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.07%EV -14.22%E -7.29%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%EV -14.82%E -4.70%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -1.90%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.43%EV -11.14%E -5.51%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -11.57%E -3.54%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -16.00%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -16.00%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -16.00%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -16.58%E -5.76%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -16.58%E -5.76%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -18.87%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -18.90%E -6.75%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 2.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.38% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |