Language:English
Necaxa v Atlante FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Necaxa (Local)
Prediction 49.60%2.02fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.58%49.59%49.63%51.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.861.851.9758.14%53.91%54.05%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlante FC (Visit)
Prediction 24.86%4.02fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.473%
Kelly +0.625%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.99%24.81%24.92%26.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.793.804.1029.41%26.37%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.53%3.92fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.440%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%25.61%25.45%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.603.8530.30%27.92%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Necaxa (Local): 49.60%; Atlante FC (Visit): 24.86%; Draw: 25.53%. For Atlante FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +1.94%E +0.473%K +0.625%G +0.012% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +1.94%E +0.473%K +0.625%G +0.012% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.58%EV +1.19%E +0.293%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -10.22%E -5.65%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.95%EV -2.28%E -1.16%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41%EV -1.79%E -0.453%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.64%EV -7.57%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-16 04:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -7.24%E -3.87%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -1.79%E -0.453%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.97%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -11.71%E -6.58%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -1.79%E -0.453%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -11.71%E -6.58%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -1.79%E -0.453%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -12.70%E -7.21%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -3.03%E -0.778%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.03%EV -4.27%E -2.21%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.89%EV -3.53%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -1.70%E -0.440%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-17 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.03%EV -4.27%E -2.21%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.89%EV -3.53%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -1.70%E -0.440%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-17 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.08%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.41%EV -3.48%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.26%E -2.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -2.97%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.57%EV -4.76%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-17 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-15 02:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.24%E -3.87%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 00:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -14.68%E -8.54%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.24%E -3.87%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.24%E -3.87%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.89%EV -7.51%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -7.57%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.26%E -2.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-17 00:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.76%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.76%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.56%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.01%EV -12.42%E -3.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-17 00:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.26%E -2.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-17 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-17 00:41 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.62%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.92%EV -14.46%E -4.32%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-16 21:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-17 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-16 21:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31% | 2.9% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
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