The School of OddsNecaxa v Atlante FC
Head to Head
Option 1: Necaxa (Local)
Odds
1.6759.88%Min
1.7656.78%Mean
1.7856.18%Median
1.8354.64%Max
Consensus probabilities
49.61%2.016Min
53.89%1.856Max
52.04%1.921Mean
52.10%1.919Median
52.16%1.917IQM
52.15%1.918Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.83 under the IQM model: 52.16%
EV -4.54%Edge -2.48%Kelly -5.47%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Atlante FC (Visit)
Odds
3.6027.78%Min
3.8625.91%Mean
3.8026.32%Median
4.1024.39%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.48%4.449Min
24.13%4.144Max
23.29%4.294Mean
23.17%4.316Median
23.28%4.295IQM
23.28%4.295Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.10 under the IQM model: 23.28%
EV -4.55%Edge -1.11%Kelly -1.47%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.4029.41%Min
3.6727.27%Mean
3.7027.03%Median
4.0025.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.61%4.235Min
26.26%3.808Max
24.67%4.054Mean
24.73%4.044Median
24.56%4.072IQM
24.57%4.070Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 24.56%
EV -1.77%Edge -0.444%Kelly -0.592%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Necaxa (Local) ▼ | Atlante FC (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.87%EV -4.54% E -2.48% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.15%EV -4.55% E -1.11% K -1.47% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.98%EV -6.69% E -1.76% K -2.39% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.11% E -3.39% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.68%EV -6.88% E -1.72% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.68%EV -1.77% E -0.444% K -0.592% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 22:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56% NM 51.73%EV -6.11% E -3.39% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38% NM 23.63%EV -8.27% E -2.10% K -2.81% G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46% NM 24.63%EV -7.18% E -1.90% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 20:55 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56% NM 49.61%EV -6.11% E -3.39% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.13%EV -13.86% E -3.75% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.26%EV -16.51% E -4.86% K -6.88% G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 20:54 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56% NM 49.61%EV -6.11% E -3.39% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.13%EV -13.86% E -3.75% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.26%EV -16.51% E -4.86% K -6.88% G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 49.61%EV -6.11% E -3.39% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.13%EV -13.86% E -3.75% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.26%EV -16.51% E -4.86% K -6.88% G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 49.61%EV -6.11% E -3.39% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.13%EV -13.86% E -3.75% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.26%EV -16.51% E -4.86% K -6.88% G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18% NM 52.04%EV -7.15% E -4.02% K -9.17% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.45%EV -8.04% E -2.04% K -2.73% G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46% NM 24.51%EV -7.18% E -1.90% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-06 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50% NM 52.06%EV -7.67% E -4.33% K -9.96% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.04%EV -6.88% E -1.72% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.90%EV -9.14% E -2.47% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-06 20:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82% NM 52.87%EV -8.19% E -4.66% K -10.78% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.26%EV -6.88% E -1.72% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.86%EV -4.23% E -1.08% K -1.46% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 20:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14% NM 52.15%EV -10.28% E -5.98% K -14.28% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.61%EV -11.53% E -3.03% K -4.12% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.24%EV -9.14% E -2.47% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-07 20:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48% NM 53.89%EV -10.80% E -6.32% K -15.21% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.48%EV -4.55% E -1.11% K -1.47% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.63%EV -4.23% E -1.08% K -1.46% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-06 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82% NM 52.78%EV -11.32% E -6.66% K -16.18% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.61%EV -11.53% E -3.03% K -4.12% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.61%EV -6.69% E -1.76% K -2.39% G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-06 20:53 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52% NM 52.21%EV -12.37% E -7.36% K -18.19% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.08%EV -11.53% E -3.03% K -4.12% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 24.71%EV -12.82% E -3.61% K -5.03% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-07 10:23 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88% NM 51.52%EV -12.89% E -7.72% K -19.24% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 23.90%EV -16.19% E -4.50% K -6.23% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 24.58%EV -14.05% E -4.02% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-07-06 20:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Necaxa (Local) | Atlante FC (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52% NM 51.17% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 23.55% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.28% | 16.3% | 2026-07-07 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15% NM 33.12% | 1.04I 96.15% NM 33.12% | 1.02I 98.04% NM 33.77% | 190.3% | 2026-07-06 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15% NM 33.12% | 1.04I 96.15% NM 33.12% | 1.02I 98.04% NM 33.77% | 190.3% | 2026-07-06 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15% NM 33.12% | 1.04I 96.15% NM 33.12% | 1.02I 98.04% NM 33.77% | 190.3% | 2026-07-06 20:55 |