La escuela de los momiosNecaxa v Atlante FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Necaxa (Local)
Predicción 49.60%2.02momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.58%49.59%49.63%51.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.861.851.9758.14%53.91%54.05%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlante FC (Visitante)
Predicción 24.86%4.02momio equitativo
EV +1.94%
Ventaja +0.473%
Kelly +0.625%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.99%24.81%24.92%26.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.793.804.1029.41%26.37%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.53%3.92momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.440%
Kelly -0.595%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.97%25.61%25.45%26.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.583.603.8530.30%27.92%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +1.94%E +0.473%K +0.625%G +0.012% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +1.94%E +0.473%K +0.625%G +0.012% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.58%EV +1.19%E +0.293%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.72%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -10.22%E -5.65%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -0.548%E -0.137%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| GTbets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.95%EV -2.28%E -1.16%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41%EV -1.79%E -0.453%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.64%EV -7.57%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-16 04:05 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -7.24%E -3.87%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -1.79%E -0.453%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.97%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -11.71%E -6.58%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -1.79%E -0.453%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -11.71%E -6.58%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -1.79%E -0.453%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -12.70%E -7.21%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -3.03%E -0.778%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.03%EV -4.27%E -2.21%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.89%EV -3.53%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -1.70%E -0.440%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-17 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.03%EV -4.27%E -2.21%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.89%EV -3.53%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -1.70%E -0.440%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-17 00:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.08%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.41%EV -3.48%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.26%E -2.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -2.97%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.57%EV -4.76%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 15:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-17 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-15 02:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.24%E -3.87%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 00:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -14.68%E -8.54%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.24%E -3.87%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.24%E -3.87%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.89%EV -7.51%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -7.57%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.26%E -2.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-17 00:10 |
| betano_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.76%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.76%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.56%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.01%EV -12.42%E -3.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-17 00:33 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.26%E -2.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-17 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-17 00:45 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-17 00:41 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.62%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.92%EV -14.46%E -4.32%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-17 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-16 21:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-17 00:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-16 21:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31% | 2.9% | 2026-07-17 00:56 |