The School of Odds

Monterrey v Santos Laguna

2026-07-19 01:00 — Liga MX

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Option 1: Monterrey (Local)

Odds
1.5066.67%Min
1.5464.76%Mean
1.5365.36%Median
1.5962.89%Max
Consensus probabilities
57.30%1.745Min
60.69%1.648Max
59.39%1.684Mean
59.59%1.678Median
59.59%1.678IQM
59.60%1.678Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.59 under the IQM model: 59.59%

EV -5.25%Edge -3.30%Kelly -8.89%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Santos Laguna (Visit)

Odds
4.3323.09%Min
4.8520.63%Mean
4.7521.05%Median
5.2519.05%Max
Consensus probabilities
18.11%5.523Min
19.90%5.026Max
18.27%5.475Mean
18.19%5.498Median
18.19%5.498IQM
18.22%5.488Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.25 under the IQM model: 18.19%

EV -4.51%Edge -0.859%Kelly -1.06%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.7027.03%Min
4.0324.82%Mean
4.1524.10%Median
4.4022.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.10%4.739Min
24.00%4.166Max
22.35%4.475Mean
22.22%4.501Median
22.22%4.501IQM
22.18%4.510Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 22.22%

EV -2.24%Edge -0.509%Kelly -0.659%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMonterrey (Local) ▼Santos Laguna (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.59I 62.89% NM 59.79%EV -5.25% E -3.30% K -8.89% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 18.11%EV -4.51% E -0.859% K -1.06% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 22.11%EV -4.46% E -1.04% K -1.35% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:30
1xBet1.58I 63.29% NM 59.00%EV -5.84% E -3.70% K -10.07% G +0.000%5.03I 19.88% NM 18.53%EV -8.51% E -1.69% K -2.11% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.46%EV -7.79% E -1.88% K -2.47% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 18:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69% NM 59.85%EV -6.44% E -4.10% K -11.29% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.79%EV -9.06% E -1.81% K -2.26% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.36%EV -2.24% E -0.509% K -0.659% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:50
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10% NM 59.46%EV -7.03% E -4.51% K -12.56% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.19%EV -7.24% E -1.42% K -1.77% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.35%EV -7.79% E -1.88% K -2.47% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 18:55
William Hill1.55I 64.52% NM 57.30%EV -7.63% E -4.92% K -13.87% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 18.70%EV -13.61% E -2.86% K -3.63% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.00%EV -17.79% E -4.81% K -6.59% G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-05 15:39
FanDuel1.53I 65.36% NM 60.69%EV -8.82% E -5.77% K -16.64% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -7.24% E -1.42% K -1.77% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.10%EV -2.24% E -0.509% K -0.659% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 13:01
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36% NM 59.30%EV -8.82% E -5.77% K -16.64% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.10%EV -13.61% E -2.86% K -3.63% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.60%EV -6.68% E -1.59% K -2.09% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 14:55
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36% NM 58.78%EV -8.82% E -5.77% K -16.64% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.55%EV -16.33% E -3.55% K -4.54% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 21.67%EV -7.79% E -1.88% K -2.47% G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 19:14
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 57.62%EV -8.82% E -5.77% K -16.64% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 18.56%EV -13.61% E -2.86% K -3.63% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 23.83%EV -17.79% E -4.81% K -6.59% G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-05 17:25
888sport1.53I 65.36% NM 57.62%EV -8.82% E -5.77% K -16.64% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 18.56%EV -13.61% E -2.86% K -3.63% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 23.83%EV -17.79% E -4.81% K -6.59% G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-05 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 57.62%EV -8.82% E -5.77% K -16.64% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 18.56%EV -13.61% E -2.86% K -3.63% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 23.83%EV -17.79% E -4.81% K -6.59% G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-05 17:29
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67% NM 57.43%EV -10.61% E -7.07% K -21.22% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 19.90%EV -21.24% E -4.91% K -6.38% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 22.67%EV -15.57% E -4.10% K -5.56% G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-05 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerMonterrey (Local)Santos Laguna (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-05 15:50