La escuela de los momios

Monterrey v Santos Laguna

Inicio: 2026-07-19 01:05 UTC

Final: Monterrey 3–2 Santos Laguna

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Monterrey (Local)

Predicción 64.45%1.55momio equitativo
EV -0.753%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.67%64.26%64.46%65.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.461.451.5474.07%68.69%68.97%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Santos Laguna (Visitante)

Predicción 15.37%6.51momio equitativo
EV +7.56%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.26%
Crecimiento +0.095%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.84%15.42%15.36%17.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.805.757.0020.00%17.24%17.39%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.19%4.95momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -0.815%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.13%20.32%20.17%22.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.474.504.8025.00%22.36%22.22%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.90%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +7.56%E +1.08%K +1.26%G +0.095%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.27%EV -3.50%E -0.732%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.90%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +7.56%E +1.08%K +1.26%G +0.095%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.27%EV -3.50%E -0.732%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 01:00
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -6.55%E -4.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -0.123%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -5.12%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 01:00
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.84%E -5.48%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.123%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -4.11%E -0.865%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 00:59
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.02%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.77%EV -0.584%E -0.090%K -0.107%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.21%EV -4.51%E -0.954%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 00:55
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.16%EV -3.33%E -2.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.92%EV -0.891%E -0.138%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.92%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 00:54
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.96%EV -2.43%E -0.382%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -8.14%E -1.79%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 00:50
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.96%E -0.634%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -4.11%E -0.865%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 01:00
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.55%E -4.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -3.96%E -0.634%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 00:59
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -7.84%E -5.48%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -3.96%E -0.634%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -8.14%E -1.79%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 00:59
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.23%EV -0.753%E -0.489%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.84%EV -7.04%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -11.78%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 01:00
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -4.11%E -0.865%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 01:00
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -4.11%E -0.865%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 01:00
betano_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -4.11%E -0.865%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 00:58
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.78%E -6.98%K -24.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -3.10%E -0.645%K -0.815%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 00:59
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.59%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 00:54
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.78%E -6.98%K -24.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.78%E -6.98%K -24.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 01:00
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.34%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -14.20%E -3.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 01:00
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.34%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -14.20%E -3.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 01:00
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -8.49%E -5.98%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -10.88%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -5.12%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.65%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 00:55
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.65%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -13.19%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 01:00
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 63.06%EV -5.91%E -4.05%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -11.65%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.17%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 00:45
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 63.69%EV -7.84%E -5.48%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -11.65%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.47%EV -10.16%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 01:00
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.42%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 01:00
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.48%EV -13.00%E -9.63%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.27%EV -12.42%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -13.19%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-19 01:00
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.58%EV -2.69%E -1.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -13.95%E -2.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 00:55
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.58%EV -2.69%E -1.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -13.95%E -2.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 00:55
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.17%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 00:55
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.59%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 00:38
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -19.25%E -4.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-19 01:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -19.25%E -4.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-19 01:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -19.25%E -4.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-19 01:00
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -17.03%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.41%EV -5.91%E -4.05%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -17.03%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.17%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.58%EV -6.55%E -4.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -17.03%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -11.17%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 00:55
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.59%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -17.03%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -12.18%E -2.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 00:55
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.23%EV -9.13%E -6.48%K -22.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.51%EV -17.03%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.17%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-19 00:58
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.33%E -3.68%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.59%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-19 00:30
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.49%EV -9.13%E -6.48%K -22.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -19.33%E -3.68%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.73%EV -14.20%E -3.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-19 00:55
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -23.17%E -4.63%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -15.21%E -3.62%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 00:35
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -23.17%E -4.63%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.25%E -4.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-19 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.15%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%0.1%2026-07-19 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.17%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-07-19 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.17%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-07-19 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.17%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-07-19 01:00
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.68%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.68%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-07-19 01:00
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.78%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.47%2.7%2026-07-19 01:00