مدرسة الاحتمالات

Monterrey v Santos Laguna

البداية: 2026-07-19 01:05 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Monterrey 3–2 Santos Laguna

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Monterrey (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.45%1.55السعر العادل
EV -0.753%
الأفضلية -0.489%
Kelly -1.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.67%64.26%64.46%65.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.351.461.451.5474.07%68.69%68.97%64.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Santos Laguna (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.37%6.51السعر العادل
EV +7.56%
الأفضلية +1.08%
Kelly +1.26%
النمو +0.095%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.84%15.42%15.36%17.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.805.757.0020.00%17.24%17.39%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.19%4.95السعر العادل
EV -3.10%
الأفضلية -0.645%
Kelly -0.815%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.13%20.32%20.17%22.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.474.504.8025.00%22.36%22.22%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.90%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +7.56%E +1.08%K +1.26%G +0.095%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.27%EV -3.50%E -0.732%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.90%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +7.56%E +1.08%K +1.26%G +0.095%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.27%EV -3.50%E -0.732%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 01:00
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -6.55%E -4.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -0.123%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -5.12%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 01:00
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.84%E -5.48%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.123%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -4.11%E -0.865%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 00:59
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.02%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.77%EV -0.584%E -0.090%K -0.107%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.21%EV -4.51%E -0.954%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 00:55
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.16%EV -3.33%E -2.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.92%EV -0.891%E -0.138%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.92%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 00:54
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.96%EV -2.43%E -0.382%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -8.14%E -1.79%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 00:50
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.96%E -0.634%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -4.11%E -0.865%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 01:00
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.55%E -4.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -3.96%E -0.634%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 00:59
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -7.84%E -5.48%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -3.96%E -0.634%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -8.14%E -1.79%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 00:59
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.23%EV -0.753%E -0.489%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.84%EV -7.04%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -11.78%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 01:00
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -4.11%E -0.865%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 01:00
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -4.11%E -0.865%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 01:00
betano_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -4.11%E -0.865%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 00:58
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.78%E -6.98%K -24.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -3.10%E -0.645%K -0.815%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 00:59
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.59%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 00:54
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.78%E -6.98%K -24.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.78%E -6.98%K -24.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.81%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 01:00
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.34%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -14.20%E -3.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 01:00
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.34%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -14.20%E -3.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 01:00
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -8.49%E -5.98%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -10.88%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -5.12%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.65%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 00:55
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.65%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -13.19%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 01:00
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 63.06%EV -5.91%E -4.05%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -11.65%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.17%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 00:45
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 63.69%EV -7.84%E -5.48%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -11.65%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.47%EV -10.16%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 01:00
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.42%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 01:00
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.48%EV -13.00%E -9.63%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.27%EV -12.42%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -13.19%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-19 01:00
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.58%EV -2.69%E -1.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -13.95%E -2.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 00:55
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.58%EV -2.69%E -1.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -13.95%E -2.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 00:55
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:40
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.17%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 00:55
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.59%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 00:38
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -19.25%E -4.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-19 01:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -19.25%E -4.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-19 01:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.49%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -19.25%E -4.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-19 01:00
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -17.03%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -9.15%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.41%EV -5.91%E -4.05%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -17.03%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.17%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.58%EV -6.55%E -4.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -17.03%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -11.17%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 00:55
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.59%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -17.03%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -12.18%E -2.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 00:55
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.23%EV -9.13%E -6.48%K -22.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.51%EV -17.03%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.17%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-19 00:58
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.33%E -3.68%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.59%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-19 00:30
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.49%EV -9.13%E -6.48%K -22.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -19.33%E -3.68%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.73%EV -14.20%E -3.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-19 00:55
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -23.17%E -4.63%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -15.21%E -3.62%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 00:35
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -23.17%E -4.63%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.25%E -4.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-19 00:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.15%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%0.1%2026-07-19 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.17%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-07-19 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.17%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-07-19 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.17%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-07-19 01:00
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.68%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.68%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-07-19 01:00
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.78%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.47%2.7%2026-07-19 01:00