Language:English
Monterrey v Guadalajara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Monterrey (Local)
Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV +7.42%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +2.43%
Growth +0.180%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.75%26.63%26.45%28.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.304.0532.26%29.41%30.30%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Guadalajara (Visit)
Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV +0.383%
Edge +0.182%
Kelly +0.348%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.98%47.66%47.96%49.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.952.1054.64%51.11%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -0.868%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.04%25.71%25.59%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.543.553.8032.26%28.23%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 26.52%; Guadalajara (Visit): 47.80%; Draw: 25.68%. For Monterrey (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV +7.42%E +1.83%K +2.43%G +0.180% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.83%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.42%EV -6.54%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.541%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.43%E -0.640%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.541%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.43%E -0.640%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -0.541%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.28%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -1.34%E -0.359%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.60%EV -2.94%E -0.779%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -3.19%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.01%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -8.08%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 00:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 00:57 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.77%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.91%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.32%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV +0.383%E +0.182%K +0.348%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV +0.383%E +0.182%K +0.348%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.70%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -12.52%E -6.84%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.40%E -6.58%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -2.01%E -0.979%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 00:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -10.61%E -5.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.15%EV -14.33%E -4.44%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.90%EV -10.61%E -5.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -13.21%E -3.91%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-22 00:58 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -16.45%E -5.22%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.70%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -16.45%E -5.22%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -17.78%E -5.74%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -13.98%E -4.17%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |