La escuela de los momiosMonterrey v Guadalajara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Monterrey (Local)
Predicción 26.52%3.77momio equitativo
EV +7.42%
Ventaja +1.83%
Kelly +2.43%
Crecimiento +0.180%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.75%26.63%26.45%28.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.403.304.0532.26%29.41%30.30%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Guadalajara (Visitante)
Predicción 47.80%2.09momio equitativo
EV +0.383%
Ventaja +0.182%
Kelly +0.348%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.98%47.66%47.96%49.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.952.1054.64%51.11%51.28%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.68%3.89momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -0.640%
Kelly -0.868%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.04%25.71%25.59%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.553.8032.26%28.23%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV +7.42%E +1.83%K +2.43%G +0.180% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.83%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.42%EV -6.54%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.541%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.43%E -0.640%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.541%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.43%E -0.640%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -0.541%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.28%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -1.34%E -0.359%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.60%EV -2.94%E -0.779%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| BetUS | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -3.19%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 00:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| DraftKings | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.01%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -8.08%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 00:59 |
| Bovada | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 00:57 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| GTbets | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.77%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.91%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.32%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Everygame | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV +0.383%E +0.182%K +0.348%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV +0.383%E +0.182%K +0.348%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Bet Right | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Sky Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.70%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -12.52%E -6.84%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.40%E -6.58%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Casumo | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| betPARX | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -2.01%E -0.979%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 00:51 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -10.61%E -5.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.15%EV -14.33%E -4.44%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.90%EV -10.61%E -5.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -13.21%E -3.91%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-22 00:58 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -16.45%E -5.22%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.70%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -16.45%E -5.22%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -17.78%E -5.74%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -13.98%E -4.17%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |