Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Monterrey v Guadalajara

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 01:07 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Monterrey (Local)

Prévision 26.52%3.77cote équitable
EV +7.42%
Avantage +1.83%
Kelly +2.43%
Croissance +0.180%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.75%26.63%26.45%28.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.403.304.0532.26%29.41%30.30%24.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Guadalajara (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.80%2.09cote équitable
EV +0.383%
Avantage +0.182%
Kelly +0.348%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.98%47.66%47.96%49.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.952.1054.64%51.11%51.28%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.68%3.89cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -0.640%
Kelly -0.868%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.04%25.71%25.59%27.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.553.8032.26%28.23%28.17%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Monterrey (Local) : 26.52% ; Guadalajara (Visiteur) : 47.80% ; Match nul : 25.68%. Pour Monterrey (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.77. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.05, soit une espérance positive de +7.42%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV +7.42%E +1.83%K +2.43%G +0.180%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.83%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.42%EV -6.54%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.541%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.43%E -0.640%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 01:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.541%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.43%E -0.640%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -0.541%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.28%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 01:04
Pinnacle🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -1.34%E -0.359%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.60%EV -2.94%E -0.779%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 01:04
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -3.19%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:59
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 01:03
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 01:04
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 01:04
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 01:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.01%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -8.08%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 00:59
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 00:57
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 01:03
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 01:04
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 01:04
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 01:04
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 01:04
GTbets🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 26.77%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.91%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.32%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 01:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:04
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 01:04
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 01:04
Everygame🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV +0.383%E +0.182%K +0.348%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV +0.383%E +0.182%K +0.348%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 01:04
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 01:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 01:04
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 01:04
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.70%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 01:04
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-22 01:03
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-22 01:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-22 01:03
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-22 01:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -12.52%E -6.84%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.40%E -6.58%K -9.72%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-22 01:03
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 01:04
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -1.53%E -0.742%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 01:04
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -2.01%E -0.979%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 00:51
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -10.61%E -5.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-22 01:04
Betclic (FR)🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 27.15%EV -14.33%E -4.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.90%EV -10.61%E -5.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -13.21%E -3.91%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 00:58
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.13%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 01:04
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 01:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -16.45%E -5.22%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.70%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 01:03
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -16.45%E -5.22%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 01:04
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -17.78%E -5.74%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -13.98%E -4.17%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 01:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-03-22 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-03-22 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-03-22 01:04
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-03-22 01:04
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-03-22 01:05
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%4.0%2026-03-22 01:05