Language:English
Monterrey v Cruz Azul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Monterrey (Local)
Prediction 41.45%2.41fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.07%41.43%41.47%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.222.202.3449.02%45.15%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cruz Azul (Visit)
Prediction 31.75%3.15fair odd
EV +0.006%
Edge +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%31.76%31.71%32.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.902.903.1537.04%34.54%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.80%3.73fair odd
EV -0.832%
Edge -0.225%
Kelly -0.308%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%26.81%26.81%28.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.443.7032.26%29.34%29.11%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 41.45%; Cruz Azul (Visit): 31.75%; Draw: 26.80%. For Cruz Azul (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.1498. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.1500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.006%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.00%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.55%EV -9.95%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.58%E -0.510%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.90%EV -2.22%E -0.720%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 23:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.56%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.06%EV -4.12%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.38%EV -1.64%E -0.446%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -7.57%E -3.39%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -7.57%E -3.39%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -5.39%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -0.832%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -5.39%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -0.832%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 00:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 01:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.67%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.37%EV -6.66%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.96%EV -5.39%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 01:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 00:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 00:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 00:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.26%EV -7.57%E -3.39%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 31.84%EV -8.25%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.90%EV -8.34%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 01:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -11.30%E -5.28%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -11.30%E -5.28%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -11.30%E -5.28%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.42%EV -12.13%E -5.72%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.14%EV -10.47%E -3.71%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 00:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-20 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-20 00:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -12.96%E -6.17%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.19%EV -12.13%E -5.72%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.52%EV -12.06%E -4.35%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.96%E -6.17%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.69%E -4.62%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 41.79%EV -15.44%E -7.57%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.57%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.64%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-09-20 01:00 |