L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Monterrey v Cruz Azul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 01:10 UTC

Score final : Monterrey 1–0 Cruz Azul

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Monterrey (Local)

Prévision 41.45%2.41cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.07%41.43%41.47%42.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.222.202.3449.02%45.15%45.45%42.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cruz Azul (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.75%3.15cote équitable
EV +0.006%
Avantage +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.15%31.76%31.71%32.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.902.903.1537.04%34.54%34.48%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.80%3.73cote équitable
EV -0.832%
Avantage -0.225%
Kelly -0.308%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.38%26.81%26.81%28.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.413.443.7032.26%29.34%29.11%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Monterrey (Local) : 41.45% ; Cruz Azul (Visiteur) : 31.75% ; Match nul : 26.80%. Pour Cruz Azul (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.1498. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.1500, soit une espérance positive de +0.006%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.00%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.55%EV -9.95%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 00:59
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.58%E -0.510%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 00:24
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.90%EV -2.22%E -0.720%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 23:14
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.56%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.06%EV -4.12%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.38%EV -1.64%E -0.446%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -7.57%E -3.39%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 00:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -7.57%E -3.39%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 20:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -5.39%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -0.832%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -5.39%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -0.832%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 00:54
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 00:19
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 01:04
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 00:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 01:03
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 01:04
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.67%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.37%EV -6.66%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.96%EV -5.39%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:02
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 01:05
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 00:58
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 00:49
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 00:59
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 00:19
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.26%EV -7.57%E -3.39%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 31.84%EV -8.25%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.90%EV -8.34%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 01:00
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 01:00
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 00:25
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -11.30%E -5.28%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 00:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -11.30%E -5.28%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 00:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -11.30%E -5.28%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 00:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.42%EV -12.13%E -5.72%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.14%EV -10.47%E -3.71%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 00:58
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 21:34
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 00:55
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 01:04
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 21:34
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -12.96%E -6.17%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 00:49
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 01:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 01:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 01:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 01:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.19%EV -12.13%E -5.72%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.52%EV -12.06%E -4.35%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-20 01:04
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.96%E -6.17%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.69%E -4.62%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 21:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 41.79%EV -15.44%E -7.57%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.57%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.64%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-09-20 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-09-20 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-09-20 01:04
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-09-20 01:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-09-20 01:04
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-09-20 01:00