A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Monterrey v Cruz Azul

Início: 2026-09-20 01:10 UTC

Final: Monterrey 1–0 Cruz Azul

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Monterrey (Local)

Previsão 41.45%2.41odd justa
EV -3.01%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.07%41.43%41.47%42.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.042.222.202.3449.02%45.15%45.45%42.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cruz Azul (Visitante)

Previsão 31.75%3.15odd justa
EV +0.006%
Vantagem +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.15%31.76%31.71%32.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.902.903.1537.04%34.54%34.48%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.80%3.73odd justa
EV -0.832%
Vantagem -0.225%
Kelly -0.308%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.38%26.81%26.81%28.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.413.443.7032.26%29.34%29.11%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Monterrey (Local): 41.45%; Cruz Azul (Visitante): 31.75%; Empate: 26.80%. Para Cruz Azul (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.1498. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.1500, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.006%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.00%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.55%EV -9.95%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 00:59
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.58%E -0.510%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 00:24
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.90%EV -2.22%E -0.720%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 23:14
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.56%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.06%EV -4.12%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.38%EV -1.64%E -0.446%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -7.57%E -3.39%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 00:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -7.57%E -3.39%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 20:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -5.39%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -0.832%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -5.39%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -0.832%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 00:54
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 00:19
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 01:04
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 00:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 01:03
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 01:04
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.67%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.37%EV -6.66%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.96%EV -5.39%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:02
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 01:05
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 00:58
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 00:49
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 00:59
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 00:19
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -9.64%E -4.42%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.26%EV -7.57%E -3.39%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 31.84%EV -8.25%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.90%EV -8.34%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 01:00
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 01:00
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 00:25
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -11.30%E -5.28%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 00:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -11.30%E -5.28%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 00:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -11.30%E -5.28%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 00:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.42%EV -12.13%E -5.72%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.14%EV -10.47%E -3.71%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 00:58
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 21:34
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 00:55
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 01:04
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 21:34
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -12.96%E -6.17%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 00:49
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 01:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 01:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 01:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 01:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.19%EV -12.13%E -5.72%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.52%EV -12.06%E -4.35%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-20 01:04
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.96%E -6.17%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.69%E -4.62%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 21:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 41.79%EV -15.44%E -7.57%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.57%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.64%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-20 00:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-09-20 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-09-20 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-09-20 01:04
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-09-20 01:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-09-20 01:04
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-09-20 01:00