Language:English
León v FC Juárez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
León (Local)
Prediction 42.74%2.34fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%42.85%42.69%46.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.162.2950.00%46.52%46.30%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Juárez (Visit)
Prediction 30.85%3.24fair odd
EV +4.89%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%30.84%30.79%32.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.953.4037.04%33.95%33.90%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.41%3.79fair odd
EV +0.886%
Edge +0.232%
Kelly +0.314%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.23%26.30%26.53%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.483.453.8233.33%28.76%28.99%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: León (Local): 42.74%; FC Juárez (Visit): 30.85%; Draw: 26.41%. For FC Juárez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -14.52%E -7.26%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +4.89%E +1.44%K +2.04%G +0.100% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -0.973%E -0.303%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV +0.886%E +0.232%K +0.314%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -0.973%E -0.303%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV +0.886%E +0.232%K +0.314%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.81%EV -3.41%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.62%EV -2.52%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -2.82%E -0.896%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.76%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.76%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 03:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.49%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -6.83%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.28%E -0.617%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.28%E -0.617%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 00:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 02:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 02:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 03:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.72%EV -7.68%E -3.56%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%EV -8.54%E -3.99%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%EV -8.54%E -3.99%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 02:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.94%EV -2.12%E -0.928%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.78%EV -9.61%E -3.28%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV +0.358%E +0.094%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 03:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 03:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 02:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.52%E -7.26%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -20.77%E -6.92%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-19 02:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -12.08%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.49%EV -11.53%E -5.57%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86%EV -12.08%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.49%EV -11.53%E -5.57%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86%EV -12.08%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -14.52%E -7.26%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -12.08%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.96%EV -12.70%E -4.49%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.31%EV -12.05%E -3.62%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 02:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.62%E -4.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -13.62%E -4.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -15.16%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -15.16%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -15.16%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-19 03:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.16%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.44%EV -13.66%E -6.76%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.18%EV -15.16%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-19 03:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.71%E -6.19%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.71%E -6.19%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.71%E -6.19%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.87% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 02:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |