مدرسة الاحتمالات

León v FC Juárez

البداية: 2026-04-19 03:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: León 3–1 FC Juárez

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

León (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.74%2.34السعر العادل
EV -2.12%
الأفضلية -0.928%
Kelly -1.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.30%42.85%42.69%46.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.152.162.2950.00%46.52%46.30%43.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Juárez (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.85%3.24السعر العادل
EV +4.89%
الأفضلية +1.44%
Kelly +2.04%
النمو +0.100%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.44%30.84%30.79%32.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.952.953.4037.04%33.95%33.90%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.41%3.79السعر العادل
EV +0.886%
الأفضلية +0.232%
Kelly +0.314%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.23%26.30%26.53%28.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.483.453.8233.33%28.76%28.99%26.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -14.52%E -7.26%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +4.89%E +1.44%K +2.04%G +0.100%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 03:05
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -0.973%E -0.303%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV +0.886%E +0.232%K +0.314%G +0.003%3.4%2026-04-19 01:55
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -0.973%E -0.303%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV +0.886%E +0.232%K +0.314%G +0.003%3.4%2026-04-19 02:00
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.81%EV -3.41%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.62%EV -2.52%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 02:55
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -2.82%E -0.896%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 02:05
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.76%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 03:05
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.76%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 03:05
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 03:04
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 02:55
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 02:55
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.49%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -6.83%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 02:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.28%E -0.617%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 01:00
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.28%E -0.617%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:59
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 02:35
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 02:35
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 02:35
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 02:35
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 02:35
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 02:35
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 03:05
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 02:40
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 02:35
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 02:58
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 03:00
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 03:05
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.72%EV -7.68%E -3.56%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 02:05
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 02:30
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%EV -8.54%E -3.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%EV -8.54%E -3.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 03:05
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 02:45
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.94%EV -2.12%E -0.928%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.78%EV -9.61%E -3.28%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV +0.358%E +0.094%K +0.128%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 03:05
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 03:00
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 03:00
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 03:05
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 02:46
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 01:00
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.52%E -7.26%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -20.77%E -6.92%K -10.38%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-19 02:45
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -12.08%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 02:55
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 42.49%EV -11.53%E -5.57%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86%EV -12.08%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 02:35
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.49%EV -11.53%E -5.57%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86%EV -12.08%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 02:35
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -14.52%E -7.26%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -12.08%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-19 02:55
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.96%EV -12.70%E -4.49%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.31%EV -12.05%E -3.62%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 02:54
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.62%E -4.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 01:01
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -13.62%E -4.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 02:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -15.16%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 02:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -15.16%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 02:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -15.16%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-19 03:04
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.16%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-19 02:55
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.44%EV -13.66%E -6.76%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.18%EV -15.16%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-19 03:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.71%E -6.19%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 03:05
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.71%E -6.19%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 03:05
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.71%E -6.19%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 03:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-04-19 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-04-19 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-04-19 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-04-19 03:05
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-04-19 02:45
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-04-19 03:05