Language:English
León v Atlético San Luis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
León (Local)
Prediction 49.33%2.03fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -5.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.89%49.43%49.29%51.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.851.851.9358.82%54.09%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético San Luis (Visit)
Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV +2.72%
Edge +0.679%
Kelly +0.905%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.97%25.51%25.77%26.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.653.654.0029.85%27.43%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.99%4.00fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -0.869%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.03%25.06%24.94%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.653.9029.41%27.50%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: León (Local): 49.33%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 25.68%; Draw: 24.99%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV +2.72%E +0.679%K +0.905%G +0.025% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.72%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-15 00:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV +2.72%E +0.679%K +0.905%G +0.025% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.72%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-15 00:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV +0.147%E +0.038%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV +0.147%E +0.038%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.76%EV -0.366%E -0.094%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.69%EV -2.77%E -0.712%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.06%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -1.39%E -0.363%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.52%E -0.647%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-15 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.21%E -6.23%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 00:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.70%E -0.988%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 00:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.27%E -3.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.27%E -3.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 00:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.69%EV -8.25%E -4.44%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -12.20%E -6.85%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -11.27%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -12.20%E -6.85%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -11.27%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -12.20%E -6.85%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -11.27%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -13.19%E -7.49%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.24%EV -8.25%E -4.44%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.67%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.09%EV -3.02%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.55%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.42%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -3.77%E -0.980%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 00:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 00:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.84%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.84%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.36%EV -16.14%E -9.50%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.46%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.21%E -6.23%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 00:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 00:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 00:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 00:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.35%EV -12.69%E -7.17%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.53%EV -10.72%E -5.92%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -13.98%E -4.17%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.24%EV -13.02%E -3.74%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.98% | 0.0% | 2026-09-15 00:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 00:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |