Idioma:Español
León v Atlético San Luis
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
León (Local)
Predicción 49.33%2.03momio equitativo
EV -4.80%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -5.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.89%49.43%49.29%51.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.851.851.9358.82%54.09%54.05%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlético San Luis (Visitante)
Predicción 25.68%3.89momio equitativo
EV +2.72%
Ventaja +0.679%
Kelly +0.905%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.97%25.51%25.77%26.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.653.654.0029.85%27.43%27.40%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.99%4.00momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.647%
Kelly -0.869%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.03%25.06%24.94%26.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.643.653.9029.41%27.50%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: León (Local): 49.33%; Atlético San Luis (Visitante): 25.68%; Empate: 24.99%. Para Atlético San Luis (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.89. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.72%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV +2.72%E +0.679%K +0.905%G +0.025% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.72%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-15 00:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV +2.72%E +0.679%K +0.905%G +0.025% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.72%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-15 00:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV +0.147%E +0.038%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV +0.147%E +0.038%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.76%EV -0.366%E -0.094%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.69%EV -2.77%E -0.712%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.06%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -1.39%E -0.363%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.52%E -0.647%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-15 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.23%E -5.62%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.21%E -6.23%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.42%E -0.637%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 00:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.70%E -0.988%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 00:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.27%E -3.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.27%E -3.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 00:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.69%EV -8.25%E -4.44%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -12.20%E -6.85%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -11.27%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -12.20%E -6.85%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -11.27%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -12.20%E -6.85%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -11.27%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -13.19%E -7.49%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.24%EV -8.25%E -4.44%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.67%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.09%EV -3.02%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.55%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.42%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -3.77%E -0.980%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 00:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 00:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.84%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.84%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.36%EV -16.14%E -9.50%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.46%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-15 00:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.21%E -6.23%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 00:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 00:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 00:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 00:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.35%EV -12.69%E -7.17%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.53%EV -10.72%E -5.92%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -13.98%E -4.17%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.24%EV -13.02%E -3.74%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.98% | 0.0% | 2026-09-15 00:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 00:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 00:55 |