La scuola delle quote

Guadalajara v Tijuana

Inizio: 2026-04-26 01:07 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Guadalajara (Casa)

Previsione 67.12%1.49quota equa
EV -4.02%
Vantaggio -2.81%
Kelly -9.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.76%67.33%67.05%70.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.351.351.4380.00%74.19%74.07%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tijuana (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.99%7.15quota equa
EV +18.92%
Vantaggio +2.23%
Kelly +2.52%
Crescita +0.477%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.20%13.80%14.04%15.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.966.908.5018.18%14.37%14.49%11.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.89%5.29quota equa
EV +1.07%
Vantaggio +0.199%
Kelly +0.245%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.48%18.87%18.92%20.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.854.955.3523.81%20.62%20.20%18.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +18.92%E +2.23%K +2.52%G +0.477%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -1.77%E -0.340%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:25
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +18.92%E +2.23%K +2.52%G +0.477%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -1.77%E -0.340%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:24
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 19:24
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 19:24
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.36%EV -14.09%E -11.01%K -50.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -7.44%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 17:24
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV +8.43%E +1.09%K +1.25%G +0.105%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 17:14
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 69.51%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV +1.07%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-23 14:14
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 69.51%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV +1.07%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-23 14:14
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +0.120%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 17:13
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 04:14
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 70.07%EV -16.10%E -12.88%K -64.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 17:25
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.07%EV -16.10%E -12.88%K -64.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 17:25
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.25%EV -5.36%E -3.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.39%EV -0.944%E -0.133%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35%EV -7.44%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 17:50
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:14
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:14
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:15
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 04:14
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.46%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.59%EV -3.46%E -0.502%K -0.587%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:15
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.46%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.59%EV -3.46%E -0.502%K -0.587%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:14
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 67.73%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 13.78%EV -3.74%E -0.544%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.48%EV -3.09%E -0.603%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 17:15
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -5.56%E -0.824%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:20
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.56%E -0.824%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 17:14
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:34
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:19
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:40
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:15
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -20.66%E -4.92%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 17:15
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.52%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.85%EV -12.28%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.56%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:00
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -12.56%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-24 03:34
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.29%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.13%EV -14.65%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.59%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-24 03:48
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -4.02%E -2.81%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:49
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 17:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 17:20
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 19:30
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 19:35
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -10.06%E -7.51%K -29.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -15.94%E -3.58%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-24 03:49
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.94%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.56%EV -15.94%E -3.58%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -17.45%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.76%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.66%EV -23.05%E -4.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.58%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.86%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79%2.3%2026-04-24 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%3.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%3.5%2026-04-24 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%3.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%5.6%2026-04-24 01:35
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.22%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%5.9%2026-04-24 03:40