L’École des cotesGuadalajara v Tijuana
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Guadalajara (Local)
Prévision 67.12%1.49cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -2.81%
Kelly -9.35%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.76%67.33%67.05%70.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.351.351.4380.00%74.19%74.07%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Tijuana (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.99%7.15cote équitable
EV +18.92%
Avantage +2.23%
Kelly +2.52%
Croissance +0.477%
avec la cote maximale 8.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.20%13.80%14.04%15.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.966.908.5018.18%14.37%14.49%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.89%5.29cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.199%
Kelly +0.245%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 5.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.48%18.87%18.92%20.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.854.955.3523.81%20.62%20.20%18.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +18.92%E +2.23%K +2.52%G +0.477% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -1.77%E -0.340%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +18.92%E +2.23%K +2.52%G +0.477% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -1.77%E -0.340%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.36%EV -14.09%E -11.01%K -50.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -7.44%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV +8.43%E +1.09%K +1.25%G +0.105% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.51%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV +1.07%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.51%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV +1.07%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +0.120%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 17:13 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.07%EV -16.10%E -12.88%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.07%EV -16.10%E -12.88%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.25%EV -5.36%E -3.80%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.08I 14.12%NM 13.39%EV -0.944%E -0.133%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35%EV -7.44%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.46%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.59%EV -3.46%E -0.502%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.46%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.59%EV -3.46%E -0.502%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.73%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 13.78%EV -3.74%E -0.544%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.48%EV -3.09%E -0.603%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -5.56%E -0.824%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.56%E -0.824%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| Bovada | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 17:40 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -20.66%E -4.92%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.52%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 14.85%EV -12.28%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.56%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -12.56%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.29%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.13%EV -14.65%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.59%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-24 03:48 |
| Betway | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -4.02%E -2.81%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -10.06%E -7.51%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -15.94%E -3.58%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.94%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.56%EV -15.94%E -3.58%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -17.45%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.76%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.66%EV -23.05%E -4.19%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.58%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.86% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.22% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |