La escuela de los momiosGuadalajara v Tijuana
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Guadalajara (Local)
Predicción 67.12%1.49momio equitativo
EV -4.02%
Ventaja -2.81%
Kelly -9.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.76%67.33%67.05%70.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.351.351.4380.00%74.19%74.07%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tijuana (Visitante)
Predicción 13.99%7.15momio equitativo
EV +18.92%
Ventaja +2.23%
Kelly +2.52%
Crecimiento +0.477%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.20%13.80%14.04%15.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.966.908.5018.18%14.37%14.49%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.89%5.29momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.199%
Kelly +0.245%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.48%18.87%18.92%20.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.854.955.3523.81%20.62%20.20%18.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +18.92%E +2.23%K +2.52%G +0.477% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -1.77%E -0.340%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +18.92%E +2.23%K +2.52%G +0.477% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -1.77%E -0.340%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.36%EV -14.09%E -11.01%K -50.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -7.44%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV +8.43%E +1.09%K +1.25%G +0.105% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.51%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV +1.07%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.51%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV +1.07%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +0.120%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 17:13 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.07%EV -16.10%E -12.88%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.07%EV -16.10%E -12.88%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.25%EV -5.36%E -3.80%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.08I 14.12%NM 13.39%EV -0.944%E -0.133%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35%EV -7.44%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.46%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.59%EV -3.46%E -0.502%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.46%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.59%EV -3.46%E -0.502%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.73%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 13.78%EV -3.74%E -0.544%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.48%EV -3.09%E -0.603%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -5.56%E -0.824%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.56%E -0.824%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| Bovada | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 17:40 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -20.66%E -4.92%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.52%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 14.85%EV -12.28%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.56%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -12.56%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.29%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.13%EV -14.65%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.59%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-24 03:48 |
| Betway | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -4.02%E -2.81%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -10.06%E -7.51%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -15.94%E -3.58%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.94%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.56%EV -15.94%E -3.58%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -17.45%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.76%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.66%EV -23.05%E -4.19%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.58%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.86% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.22% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |