مدرسة الاحتمالات

Guadalajara v Tijuana

البداية: 2026-04-26 01:07 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Guadalajara (المضيف)

التنبؤ 67.12%1.49السعر العادل
EV -4.02%
الأفضلية -2.81%
Kelly -9.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.76%67.33%67.05%70.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.351.351.4380.00%74.19%74.07%69.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tijuana (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.99%7.15السعر العادل
EV +18.92%
الأفضلية +2.23%
Kelly +2.52%
النمو +0.477%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.20%13.80%14.04%15.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.966.908.5018.18%14.37%14.49%11.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.89%5.29السعر العادل
EV +1.07%
الأفضلية +0.199%
Kelly +0.245%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.48%18.87%18.92%20.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.854.955.3523.81%20.62%20.20%18.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +18.92%E +2.23%K +2.52%G +0.477%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -1.77%E -0.340%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:25
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +18.92%E +2.23%K +2.52%G +0.477%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -1.77%E -0.340%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:24
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.66%E -0.717%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:25
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 19:24
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 19:24
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.36%EV -14.09%E -11.01%K -50.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +11.93%E +1.49%K +1.70%G +0.203%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -7.44%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 17:24
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV +8.43%E +1.09%K +1.25%G +0.105%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 17:14
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 69.51%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV +1.07%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-23 14:14
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 69.51%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV +1.07%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-23 14:14
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +0.120%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 17:13
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 04:14
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 70.07%EV -16.10%E -12.88%K -64.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 17:25
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.07%EV -16.10%E -12.88%K -64.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV +4.93%E +0.658%K +0.759%G +0.037%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 17:25
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.25%EV -5.36%E -3.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.39%EV -0.944%E -0.133%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35%EV -7.44%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 17:50
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:14
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -9.39%E -6.96%K -26.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:14
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:15
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -2.06%E -0.295%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 04:14
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.46%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.59%EV -3.46%E -0.502%K -0.587%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:15
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.46%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.59%EV -3.46%E -0.502%K -0.587%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:14
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 67.73%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 13.78%EV -3.74%E -0.544%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.48%EV -3.09%E -0.603%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 17:15
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -5.56%E -0.824%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:20
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.56%E -0.824%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 17:14
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:34
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:19
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:40
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.05%E -5.87%K -21.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.49%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:15
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -9.06%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -20.66%E -4.92%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 17:15
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.52%EV -6.03%E -4.31%K -15.09%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.85%EV -12.28%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.71%E -4.82%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.56%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.55%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:00
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -12.56%E -2.01%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-24 03:34
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.29%EV -12.75%E -9.80%K -42.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.13%EV -14.65%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.59%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-24 03:48
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -4.02%E -2.81%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:49
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 17:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 17:20
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 19:30
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 19:35
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -10.06%E -7.51%K -29.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -15.94%E -3.58%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-24 03:49
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.94%EV -11.40%E -8.64%K -35.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -16.05%E -2.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.56%EV -15.94%E -3.58%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -17.45%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.76%EV -10.73%E -8.07%K -32.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.66%EV -23.05%E -4.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.58%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-24 03:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.86%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79%2.3%2026-04-24 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%3.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%3.5%2026-04-24 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%3.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%5.6%2026-04-24 01:35
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.22%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%5.9%2026-04-24 03:40