Школа коэффициентов

Guadalajara v León

Начало: 2026-03-19 02:07 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

50 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Guadalajara (Хозяева)

Прогноз 67.26%1.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.50%
Преимущество -3.17%
Kelly -10.71%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.42

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.34%67.25%67.23%70.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.281.371.361.4278.13%73.10%73.53%70.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

León (Гости)

Прогноз 13.41%7.46справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.62%
Преимущество +1.29%
Kelly +1.47%
Рост +0.156%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.50%13.38%13.42%15.04%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
6.006.887.008.2516.67%14.53%14.29%12.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 19.34%5.17справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.13%
Преимущество +0.215%
Kelly +0.266%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.23

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.24%19.37%19.35%21.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.694.735.2325.00%21.34%21.14%19.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.30%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV +10.62%E +1.29%K +1.47%G +0.156%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +0.547%E +0.105%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.4%2026-03-18 21:30
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.27%EV -5.17%E -3.67%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.71I 12.97%NM 12.48%EV +3.38%E +0.439%K +0.504%G +0.017%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.25%EV -3.32%E -0.664%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 01:50
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.99%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.54%EV +3.25%E +0.422%K +0.485%G +0.016%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.47%EV +1.13%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.5%2026-03-19 01:15
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.99%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.54%EV +3.25%E +0.422%K +0.485%G +0.016%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.47%EV +1.13%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.5%2026-03-19 01:16
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.92%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 11:44
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.92%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 11:45
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 01:31
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 01:40
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.773%E -0.104%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 01:30
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.773%E -0.104%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 01:30
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 12.91%EV -1.31%E -0.178%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -8.93%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:20
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.32%E -0.664%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 01:30
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 01:50
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 01:29
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 01:45
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 01:40
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 01:50
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 01:30
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 01:30
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 01:30
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 01:30
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 01:30
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 11:44
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 11:45
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 01:15
Everygame1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 11:45
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 10:50
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.77I 14.77%NM 13.76%EV -9.22%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.21%EV -6.22%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 01:40
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 01:44
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -6.22%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 01:40
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -12.57%E -9.67%K -41.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-17 11:45
Bovada1.39I 71.94%NM 66.10%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -10.09%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 01:48
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 01:25
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 01:40
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 01:40
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 01:40
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 01:40
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-19 01:30
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.91%EV -13.91%E -10.87%K -49.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.18%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%EV -16.86%E -3.92%K -5.11%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-19 01:50
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.88%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-19 01:50
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-19 01:30
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.61%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.41%EV -18.21%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-19 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-19 01:45
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-19 01:45
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-19 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-19 01:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -22.66%E -5.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-19 01:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.5%2026-03-19 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.5%2026-03-19 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.5%2026-03-19 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.5%2026-03-19 01:40
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.32%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.53%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16%2.4%2026-03-19 01:50
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 68.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.47%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.29%3.9%2026-03-19 01:45