La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Guadalajara v León
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Guadalajara (Casa)
Previsione 67.26%1.49quota equa
EV -4.50%
Vantaggio -3.17%
Kelly -10.71%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.34%67.25%67.23%70.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.371.361.4278.13%73.10%73.53%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
León (Trasferta)
Previsione 13.41%7.46quota equa
EV +10.62%
Vantaggio +1.29%
Kelly +1.47%
Crescita +0.156%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.50%13.38%13.42%15.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.887.008.2516.67%14.53%14.29%12.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 19.34%5.17quota equa
EV +1.13%
Vantaggio +0.215%
Kelly +0.266%
Crescita +0.003%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.23
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.24%19.37%19.35%21.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.694.735.2325.00%21.34%21.14%19.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.30%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV +10.62%E +1.29%K +1.47%G +0.156% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +0.547%E +0.105%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.27%EV -5.17%E -3.67%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.71I 12.97%NM 12.48%EV +3.38%E +0.439%K +0.504%G +0.017% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.25%EV -3.32%E -0.664%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.99%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.54%EV +3.25%E +0.422%K +0.485%G +0.016% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.47%EV +1.13%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.99%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.54%EV +3.25%E +0.422%K +0.485%G +0.016% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.47%EV +1.13%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 01:16 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.92%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 11:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.92%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 01:31 |
| Bet Right | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.773%E -0.104%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.773%E -0.104%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.91%EV -1.31%E -0.178%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -8.93%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 22:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.32%E -0.664%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 01:29 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 11:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 01:15 |
| Everygame | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.76%EV -9.22%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.21%EV -6.22%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 01:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -6.22%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -12.57%E -9.67%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| Bovada | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.10%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -10.09%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 01:48 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 01:25 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 66.91%EV -13.91%E -10.87%K -49.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.18%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%EV -16.86%E -3.92%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.88%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.61%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.41%EV -18.21%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -22.66%E -5.66%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.32% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.53% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.23% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.47% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.29% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |