La escuela de los momiosGuadalajara v León
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Guadalajara (Local)
Predicción 67.26%1.49momio equitativo
EV -4.50%
Ventaja -3.17%
Kelly -10.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.34%67.25%67.23%70.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.371.361.4278.13%73.10%73.53%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
León (Visitante)
Predicción 13.41%7.46momio equitativo
EV +10.62%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.156%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.50%13.38%13.42%15.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.887.008.2516.67%14.53%14.29%12.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.34%5.17momio equitativo
EV +1.13%
Ventaja +0.215%
Kelly +0.266%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.24%19.37%19.35%21.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.694.735.2325.00%21.34%21.14%19.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.30%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV +10.62%E +1.29%K +1.47%G +0.156% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +0.547%E +0.105%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.27%EV -5.17%E -3.67%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.71I 12.97%NM 12.48%EV +3.38%E +0.439%K +0.504%G +0.017% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.25%EV -3.32%E -0.664%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.99%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.54%EV +3.25%E +0.422%K +0.485%G +0.016% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.47%EV +1.13%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.99%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.54%EV +3.25%E +0.422%K +0.485%G +0.016% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.47%EV +1.13%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 01:16 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.92%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 11:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.92%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 01:31 |
| Bet Right | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.773%E -0.104%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.773%E -0.104%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.91%EV -1.31%E -0.178%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -8.93%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 22:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.32%E -0.664%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 01:29 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 11:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 01:15 |
| Everygame | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.76%EV -9.22%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.21%EV -6.22%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 01:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -6.22%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -12.57%E -9.67%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| Bovada | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.10%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -10.09%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 01:48 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 01:25 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 66.91%EV -13.91%E -10.87%K -49.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.18%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%EV -16.86%E -3.92%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.88%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.61%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.41%EV -18.21%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -22.66%E -5.66%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.32% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.53% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.23% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.47% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.29% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |