L’École des cotesGuadalajara v León
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Guadalajara (Local)
Prévision 67.26%1.49cote équitable
EV -4.50%
Avantage -3.17%
Kelly -10.71%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.34%67.25%67.23%70.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.371.361.4278.13%73.10%73.53%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
León (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.41%7.46cote équitable
EV +10.62%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.156%
avec la cote maximale 8.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.50%13.38%13.42%15.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.887.008.2516.67%14.53%14.29%12.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.34%5.17cote équitable
EV +1.13%
Avantage +0.215%
Kelly +0.266%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 5.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.24%19.37%19.35%21.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.694.735.2325.00%21.34%21.14%19.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.30%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV +10.62%E +1.29%K +1.47%G +0.156% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +0.547%E +0.105%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.27%EV -5.17%E -3.67%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.71I 12.97%NM 12.48%EV +3.38%E +0.439%K +0.504%G +0.017% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.25%EV -3.32%E -0.664%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.99%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.54%EV +3.25%E +0.422%K +0.485%G +0.016% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.47%EV +1.13%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.99%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.54%EV +3.25%E +0.422%K +0.485%G +0.016% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.47%EV +1.13%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 01:16 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.92%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 11:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.92%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 01:31 |
| Bet Right | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +0.568%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.773%E -0.104%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.773%E -0.104%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.91%EV -1.31%E -0.178%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -8.93%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 22:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.32%E -0.664%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 01:29 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.19%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 11:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 01:15 |
| Everygame | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.14%E -0.877%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.76%EV -9.22%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.21%EV -6.22%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 01:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -6.22%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -12.57%E -9.67%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-17 11:45 |
| Bovada | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.10%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -10.09%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 01:48 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 01:25 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.99%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 66.91%EV -13.91%E -10.87%K -49.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.18%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%EV -16.86%E -3.92%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.88%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.28%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.61%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.41%EV -18.21%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -22.66%E -5.66%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-19 01:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.32% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.53% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 01:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.23% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.47% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.29% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 01:45 |