Language:English
FC Juárez v Tigres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Juárez (Local)
Prediction 23.38%4.28fair odd
EV +2.87%
Edge +0.651%
Kelly +0.843%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.27%23.25%23.34%25.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.88%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tigres (Visit)
Prediction 50.52%1.98fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.23%50.63%50.57%53.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.791.801.9062.11%55.80%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV -0.803%
Edge -0.211%
Kelly -0.287%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%26.12%26.09%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.563.603.8030.77%28.08%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Juárez (Local): 23.38%; Tigres (Visit): 50.52%; Draw: 26.10%. For FC Juárez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.87%E +0.651%K +0.843%G +0.024% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -12.10%E -6.95%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.87%E +0.651%K +0.843%G +0.024% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -12.10%E -6.95%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -5.03%E -2.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.66%EV -0.408%E -0.096%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -4.02%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.52%EV -4.98%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -8.56%E -4.73%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.803%E -0.211%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 20:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 05:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -15.13%E -9.01%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -15.13%E -9.01%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -15.13%E -9.01%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -4.02%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -1.33%E -0.351%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-18 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -4.02%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -1.33%E -0.351%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-18 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -5.53%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.22%EV -16.14%E -9.72%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 22.84%EV -5.08%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.55%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 12:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.48%EV -5.53%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -8.56%E -4.73%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 12:12 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.53%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 05:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.45%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.30%EV -18.67%E -11.59%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-16 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-18 05:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-18 05:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.18%EV -10.58%E -5.98%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 12:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 10:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.55%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.99%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.03%E -2.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 10:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-18 05:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-18 05:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-18 05:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-18 05:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.78%EV -7.05%E -3.83%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-18 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-18 12:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.27%EV -13.97%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.11%EV -10.72%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.55%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 10:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 22.23% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.52% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.26% | -1.1% | 2026-09-18 05:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.89% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57% | 1.6% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.37% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.37% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.37% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 13:55 |