L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

FC Juárez v Tigres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 03:00 UTC

Score final : FC Juárez 2–0 Tigres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Juárez (Local)

Prévision 23.38%4.28cote équitable
EV +2.87%
Avantage +0.651%
Kelly +0.843%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.27%23.25%23.34%25.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.88%25.00%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tigres (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.52%1.98cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -4.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.23%50.63%50.57%53.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.791.801.9062.11%55.80%55.56%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.10%3.83cote équitable
EV -0.803%
Avantage -0.211%
Kelly -0.287%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%26.12%26.09%27.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.563.603.8030.77%28.08%27.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Juárez (Local) : 23.38% ; Tigres (Visiteur) : 50.52% ; Match nul : 26.10%. Pour FC Juárez (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.28. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.40, soit une espérance positive de +2.87%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.87%E +0.651%K +0.843%G +0.024%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -12.10%E -6.95%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.87%E +0.651%K +0.843%G +0.024%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -12.10%E -6.95%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 23:25
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -5.03%E -2.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 12:15
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
Pinnacle🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 22.66%EV -0.408%E -0.096%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -4.02%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.52%EV -4.98%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-18 15:10
GTbets🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -8.56%E -4.73%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.803%E -0.211%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 05:10
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -15.13%E -9.01%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -15.13%E -9.01%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -15.13%E -9.01%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -4.02%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -1.33%E -0.351%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -4.02%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -1.33%E -0.351%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 10:40
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -5.53%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.22%EV -16.14%E -9.72%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-16 23:25
1xBet🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 22.84%EV -5.08%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.55%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 12:20
BetUS🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.48%EV -5.53%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -8.56%E -4.73%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 12:12
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.53%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 05:10
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.45%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.30%EV -18.67%E -11.59%K -30.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-16 23:25
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 05:15
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 05:15
Fliff🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.18%EV -10.58%E -5.98%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 12:14
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 10:45
betano_uk🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:00
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:04
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.55%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 10:40
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.99%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.03%E -2.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 10:39
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 10:39
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 05:10
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 05:15
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 05:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 05:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 05:15
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.78%EV -7.05%E -3.83%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:29
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-18 15:05
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 12:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 24.27%EV -13.97%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.11%EV -10.72%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 15:10
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.55%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 10:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 22.23%1.89I 52.91%NM 53.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.26%-1.1%2026-09-18 05:15
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.89%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57%1.6%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%1.9%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%1.9%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%1.9%2026-09-18 13:55