A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

FC Juárez v Tigres

Início: 2026-09-19 03:00 UTC

Final: FC Juárez 2–0 Tigres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Juárez (Local)

Previsão 23.38%4.28odd justa
EV +2.87%
Vantagem +0.651%
Kelly +0.843%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.27%23.25%23.34%25.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.88%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tigres (Visitante)

Previsão 50.52%1.98odd justa
EV -4.02%
Vantagem -2.11%
Kelly -4.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.23%50.63%50.57%53.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.791.801.9062.11%55.80%55.56%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.10%3.83odd justa
EV -0.803%
Vantagem -0.211%
Kelly -0.287%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.53%26.12%26.09%27.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.563.603.8030.77%28.08%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Juárez (Local): 23.38%; Tigres (Visitante): 50.52%; Empate: 26.10%. Para FC Juárez (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.28. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.87%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.87%E +0.651%K +0.843%G +0.024%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -12.10%E -6.95%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.87%E +0.651%K +0.843%G +0.024%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -12.10%E -6.95%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 23:25
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -5.03%E -2.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 12:15
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.527%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -13.11%E -7.62%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 23:25
Pinnacle🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 22.66%EV -0.408%E -0.096%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -4.02%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.52%EV -4.98%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-18 15:10
GTbets🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -8.56%E -4.73%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.803%E -0.211%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 05:10
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -15.13%E -9.01%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -15.13%E -9.01%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -1.81%E -0.431%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -15.13%E -9.01%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -4.02%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -1.33%E -0.351%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -4.02%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -1.33%E -0.351%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 10:40
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -5.53%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.22%EV -16.14%E -9.72%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-16 23:25
1xBet🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 22.84%EV -5.08%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.55%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 12:20
BetUS🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.48%EV -5.53%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -8.56%E -4.73%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 12:12
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.53%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 05:10
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.45%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.30%EV -18.67%E -11.59%K -30.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-16 23:25
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 05:15
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 05:15
Fliff🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.18%EV -10.58%E -5.98%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 12:14
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 10:45
betano_uk🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:00
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:04
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.55%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -3.41%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 10:40
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.99%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.03%E -2.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 10:39
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 10:39
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 05:10
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 05:15
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 05:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 05:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 05:15
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.78%EV -7.05%E -3.83%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:29
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -11.60%E -6.63%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-18 15:05
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -6.54%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 12:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 24.27%EV -13.97%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.11%EV -10.72%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 15:10
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.55%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 10:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 22.23%1.89I 52.91%NM 53.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.26%-1.1%2026-09-18 05:15
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.89%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57%1.6%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%1.9%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%1.9%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%1.9%2026-09-18 13:55